TYPHOON PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TYPHOON PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 049
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT)
Tue 13 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATELLITE FIX
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Typhoon PARMA (PEPENG) moving slowly WNW closer to the coast of Northern Vietnam...slightly intensified...High winds and heavy rains expected.

*Residents and visitors along Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of NEPARTAK.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to turn Westward later tonight before striking the coast of Northern Vietnam...making landfall ESE of Hanoi tomorrow morning. It will abruptly dissipate tomorrow afternoon or evening while over Northern Vietnam.

+ Effects: PARMA's main core is now approaching the coast of Northern Vietnam. Its Eyewall is almost along the coast...with the EYE still 100 km. away from the shoreline of Northern Vietnam...Typhoon conditions (winds of more than 100 kph) can be expected beginning tonight until tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (heavy to extreme rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes particularly along its path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) remains weak while moving across the Philippine Sea, closer to Eastern Visayas...currently located near lat 10.0 lon 129.5E...or about 510 km ESE of Tacloban City, Leyte...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 22 kph towards Eastern & Central Visayas. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 1 to 2 days.

(2) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] becoming Extratropical as it continues to accelerate NE across the Western Pacific Ocean. Click here to view the Final T2K advisory.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue October 13 2009
Location of Eye: 20.4º N Lat 107.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 230 km (125 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 2: 120 km (65 nm) ESE of N.Vietnam's Shoreline.
Distance 3: 165 km (90 nm) NW of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Tue Oct 13
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Tue Oct 13
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue Oct 13
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 01
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop