Sunday, October 25, 2009

Tropical Storm Ramil exits the PAR

LUPIT (RAMIL) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph TROPICAL STORM LUPIT [RAMIL/22W/0920]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 034
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 25 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #046
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm LUPIT (RAMIL) exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...now moving away from Okinawa.

*Residents and visitors along the coasts of Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of LUPIT (RAMIL).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: LUPIT is expected to move NE-ward rapidly towards the coast of Southern Honshu. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows LUPIT becoming an Extratropical (Middle-Latitude) Cyclone on Tuesday afternoon, Oct 27.

+ Effects: LUPIT's circulation continues to deteriorate. Its rainbands spreading into Okinawa and the Ryukyus and is now approaching SW Japan...rains and winds of not in excess of 95 kph can be expected. 24-hr total rainfall amounts of 25 to 50 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of 75 to 100 mm (moderate rain) near the center of LUPIT especially along its northern part. Click here to view the latest eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Southern Japan & Taiwan.

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun October 25 2009
Location of Center: 25.5º N Lat 129.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 180 km (97 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 785 km (425 nm) East of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 940 km (508 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
24-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 75-100 mm new!
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NE @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Southern Honshu's Coast
Size (in Diameter): 925 km (500 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Oct 25
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Oct 25
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Oct 25
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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