TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 047
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT)
Tue 13 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #061
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm PARMA (PEPENG) now off the NW Coast of Hainan Island...heads for Northern Vietnam.

*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island and Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to turn Westward across the Gulf of Tonkin today before making its last and final landfall over Northern Vietnam tomorrow morning. It shall dissipate on Thursday October 15.

+ Effects: PARMA's circulation particularly its thick rainbands is now over the Gulf of Tonkin...these rainbands expected to reach Vietnam tonight or tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (heavy to extreme rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes particularly along its path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) organizing over the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 10.0 lon 132.0E...or about 780 km ESE of Tacloban City, Leyte...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 15 kph towards Eastern Visayas. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours.

(2) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] accelerating NE across the Western Pacific Ocean. Click here to view the latest T2K advisory.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue October 13 2009
Location of Center: 19.9º N Lat 108.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) NW of Danzhou, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 90 km (48 nm) NNE of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 345 km (185 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Gulf of Tonkin-Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Tue Oct 13
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Oct 13
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Oct 13
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 01
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop