TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 60 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 045
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Mon 12 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #058
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm PARMA (PEPENG) making landfall over Hainan Island...Stormy weather prevailing.

*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island and Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to weaken into a TD after crossing island and exiting the Gulf of Tonkin. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows PARMA moving into the Gulf of Tonkin tonight or tomorrow...and dissipating over Vietnam tomorrow evening or on Wednesday Oct 14.

+ Effects: PARMA's circulation particularly its rainbands remains over Hainan Island and portions of Western Guangdong. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 100 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes particularly along its path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] has started accelerating ENE across the Western Pacific Ocean. Click here to view the latest T2K advisory.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon October 12 2009
Location of Center: 19.1º N Lat 110.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 35 km (20 nm) WSW of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 75 km (40 nm) SE of Danzhou, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 125 km (68 nm) NE of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 4: 505 km (272 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Gulf of Tonkin
Size (in Diameter): 465 km (250 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Oct 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 12
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 12
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 01
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop