TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 220 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 165 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
11:00 AM PST (03:00 GMT)
Fri 02 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #012
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Typhoon MELOR (20W) gaining more strength while drifting WNW slowly...threat to the Marianas continues.

*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to continue intensify and track WNW slowly for the next 2 days...becoming a 240-kph Super Typhoon, while passing some 85 km. to the north of Saipan on Saturday afternoon Oct 03 . The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR continuing moving WNW across the Western Pacific Ocean. This system shall reach Category 5 strength with winds of 270 kph as it nears the NE corner of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). As it enters PAR, MELOR shall recurve northward in the direction of Southern Japan.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains organized over the past 12 hours...Its rainbands is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time...However, its outer bands is expected to reach Northern Marianas later today. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of the storm.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PST Fri October 02 2009
Location of Eye: 14.3º N Lat 150.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 545 km (295 nm) ESE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 645 km (348 nm) ESE of Saipan, CNMI
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 220 kph (120 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 270 kph (145 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 933 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Northern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): 610 km (330 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 28 ft (8.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 11 AM PST Fri Oct 02
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00 GMT Fri Oct 02
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Fri Oct 02
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop