tropical Disturbance 95w might become a Tropical Depression within the next 24-36 hours

000
WWMY80 PGUM 241057
SPSMY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
857 PM CHST SAT OCT 24 2009

GUZ001>004-PMZ151>154-250700-
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-MARIANAS COASTAL WATERS-
857 PM CHST SAT OCT 24 2009

...DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS...

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS NEAR 10N160E IS STEADILY DEVELOPING
AND MAY INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTER...BASED ON SATELLITE
DATA...ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 MPH.

WEATHER FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS TOWARD THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS.
SINCE OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER ARE THE PEAK MONTHS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
ACTIVITY IN MICRONESIA...RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANAS ARE ADVISED TO
CLOSELY MONITOR ITS DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WEAK
DISTURBANCES CAN QUICKLY INTENSIFY DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR IN THIS
PART OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC CALLED TYPHOON ALLEY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL UPDATE THIS INFORMATION AS NEEDED
BASED ON FORECAST INFORMATION FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER.

$$

MILLER

- NWS-Guam