Sunday, October 4, 2009

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 200 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 190 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010
2:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT)
Sun 04 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #020
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

MELOR (20W) becomes the 3rd Super Typhoon of 2009...accelerating WNW across the Western Pacific Ocean.

*Residents and visitors along the Okinawa, Ryukyus and Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to continue moving WNW and will keep its Category 5 strength for the next 12 hours before weakening. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR entering the NE corner of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon before it starts recurving northeastward in the direction of Southern Japan on Tuesday Oct 06. The core shall pass very close to the southern coast of Honshu on Wednesday evening, Oct 07...becoming Extratropical on early Friday morning, Oct 09.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains very organized...exhibiting a clear, cloud-free, 55-km. wide EYE. This extremely powerful system is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of the storm.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 2:00 PM PST Sun October 04 2009
Location of Eye: 17.0� N Lat 140.9� E Lon
Distance 1: 550 km (297 nm) WNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 625 km (338 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 870 km (470 nm) South of Iwo To
Distance 4: 850 km (460 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 1,700 km (918 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Okinawa-Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Sun Oct 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06 GMT Sun Oct 04
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Oct 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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