TYPHOON MELOR [QUEDAN/20W/0918]

MELOR (QUEDAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
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TYPHOON MELOR [QUEDAN/20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 017
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Wed 07 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #033
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
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Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) continues to move more rapidly to the NNE...may strike Honshu tomorrow.

*Residents and visitors along the Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (QUEDAN).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to turn more NE-ward and make landfall just south of Kyoto early tomorrow morning and move across Central Honshu and be downgraded into a Tropical Storm. It shall pass more or less 200 km. north of Tokyo around 3-5PM JST. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows MELOR exiting Honshu and moving fast across the slightly cooler ocean waters south of Kuril Islands - becoming an Extratropical Cyclone by early Friday morning, Oct 9.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains strong but more elongated to the NE through Japan as it starts merging w/ a front system. This powerful system is now bringing very strong winds w/ moderate to heavy rains across most of Japan becoming more frequent along the path of MELOR. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of this strong Typhoon. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]



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Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Wed October 07 2009
Location of Eye: 30.6º N Lat 133.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 325 km (175 nm) South of Kochi, Japan
Distance 2: 600 km (325 nm) SW of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 3: 690 km (372 nm) SW of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 4: 810 km (438 nm) SW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph (105 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNE @ 35 kph (19 kts)
General Direction: Honshu, Japan
Size (in Diameter): 980 km (530 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 33 ft (10.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Oct 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Wed Oct 7
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Wed Oct 7
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop