TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 60 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 040
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT)
Sat 10 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #051
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression PARMA (PEPENG) accelerating WNW farther away from the Philippines...Philippine Storm Warning Signal Number One elsewhere now lowered.

*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island and Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to remain a weak depression as it tracks WNW across the South China Sea for the next 3 days and exit PAR tonight or tomorrow. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows PARMA accelerating WNW and weakening as it approaches Hainan Island. It is forecast to make landfall over Hainan Island on Tuesday Oct 13 and dissipate.

+ Effects: PARMA's circulation remains slightly disorganized while moving across the South China Sea...with its low-level circulation center (LLCC) fully-exposed, NW of the main convection. This system no longer affects the western part of Luzon.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] has accelerated NNW to Northward across the Western Pacific Ocean, south of Japan...currently located near 21.8 N lat 141.8 E Lon...about 335 km South of Iwo To. With maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center. This storm is not a threat to any land areas at this ti,e. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat October 10 2009
Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 117.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 330 km (180 nm) WNW of Vigan City
Distance 2: 340 km (185 nm) West of Laoag City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Sat Oct 10
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sat Oct 10
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Viewer: Real-Time Rainrate Image
NASA-JAXA TMI Viewer: Latest Rainrate Image
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now lowered: LA UNION & WESTERN PANGASINAN.