TYPHOON PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TYPHOON PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 048
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Tue 13 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATELLITE FIX
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Extraordinary PARMA (PEPENG) rapidly gained strength as it moves slowly across the Gulf of Tonkin...now a Cateogory 1 Typhoon...endangers Northern Vietnam. The slightly warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the gulf w/ improved atmospheric environment over the cyclone has helped it to rapidly developed in a span of only 3 hours!

*Residents and visitors along Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of NEPARTAK.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to turn Westward across the Gulf of Tonkin today before making its last and final landfall over Northern Vietnam tomorrow morning. It shall dissipate tomorrow evening or on Thursday October 15.

+ Effects: PARMA's circulation has dramatically improved during the past 6 hours, with the development of an EYE. The Eyewall and innerbands is now moving closer to Northern Vietnam...Typhoon conditions can be expected beginning tonight until tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (heavy to extreme rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes particularly along its path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) organizing over the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 10.0 lon 132.0E...or about 780 km ESE of Tacloban City, Leyte...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 15 kph towards Eastern Visayas. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours.

(2) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] accelerating NE across the Western Pacific Ocean. Click here to view the latest T2K advisory.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue October 13 2009
Location of Center: 20.2º N Lat 108.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 130 km (70 nm) NNW of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 155 km (83 nm) WNW of Danzhou, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 275 km (148 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Tue Oct 13
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Oct 13
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Oct 13
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Image: Latest Rainrate 01
NASA-JAXA TMI Image: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop