TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]

PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 60 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 039
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Sat 10 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #050
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression PARMA (PEPENG) creeping westward across the South China Sea...no change in strength.

*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island and Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to track WNW across the South China Sea for the next 3 days and exit PAR tonight or tomorrow. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows PARMA accelerating WNW, reintensifying into a minimal storm as it approaches Hainan Island. This storm is forecast to make landfall over Hainan Island on Tuesday Oct 13 and over Vietnam on Wednesday Oct 14.

+ Effects: PARMA's circulation continues to move slowly across the South China...with its low-level circulation center (LLCC) exposed. The rain convection of PARMA is sheared to the SW away from the center. Only the low-level clouds are affecting Western Luzon, bringing drizzle to light rain across the area.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Storm NEPARTAK [21W] maintaining its slow Northward trek across the Western Pacific Ocean, south of Japan. Not a threat to any land areas. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat October 10 2009
Location of Center: 17.5º N Lat 118.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km (108 nm) West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 215 km (115 nm) NW of San Fernando City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Sat Oct 10
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sat Oct 10
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Viewer: Real-Time Rainrate Image
NASA-JAXA TMI Viewer: Latest Rainrate Image
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
In Effect: LA UNION & WESTERN PANGASINAN.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.