Thursday, October 8, 2009

TYPHOON MELOR [QUEDAN/20W/0918]

MELOR (QUEDAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [QUEDAN/20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Thu 08 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #035
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) is now making landfall along the SW portion of Honshu, just south of Kyoto...Typhoon conditions across Southern and Central Honshu.

*Residents and visitors along Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (QUEDAN).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to cross Central Honshu this morning thru the afternoon while transforming into an Extratropical Cyclone...shall pass more or less 250 km. north of Tokyo around 3-5PM JST. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows MELOR moving back at sea and completing Extratropical transformation around early tomorrow morning.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation has become somewhat Extratropical in structure. This powerful system continues to bring very strong winds w/ moderate to heavy rains across most of Honshu & Hokkaido, becoming more frequent along the path of MELOR. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of this strong Typhoon. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Thu October 08 2009
Location of Center: 34.8º N Lat 137.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 50 km (28 nm) SE of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 2: 250 km (135 nm) WSW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NE @ 46 kph (26 kts)
General Direction: Central Honshu
Size (in Diameter): 980 km (530 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Oct 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Oct 8
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Oct 8
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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