TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 180 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 009
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Sun 04 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #019
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

MELOR (20W) in the brink of becoming a Super Typhoon...moving away past Saipan.

*Residents and visitors along the Okinawa, Ryukyus and Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to continue moving WNW and intensify w/in the next 24 to 48 hours reaching minimal Super Typhoon strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR just entering the NE corner of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon before it starts recurving northeastward in the direction of Southern Japan on Tuesday Oct 06. The core shall pass very close to the southern coast of Honshu late Tuesday afternoon, Oct 06...becoming Extratropical on early Friday morning, Oct 09.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains very organized...Its inner rainbands has left Saipan area...Outer bands also moving away from rest of the Marianas. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of the storm.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Fri October 02 2009
Location of Eye: 16.7º N Lat 143.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 335 km (182 nm) NW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 415 km (225 nm) NNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 920 km (497 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 4: 850 km (460 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 1,890 km (1,020 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 230 kph (125 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 280 kph (150 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 929 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Okinawa-Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Sun Oct 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Sat Oct 03
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Sun Oct 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop