Tropical Disturbance 95W [LPA], continues to organize as it moves West slowly

Tropical Disturbance 95W [LPA], continues to organize as it moves West slowly. This system may likely become a Tropical Cyclone w/in the next 48 to 72 hours...currently located near 1at 11.5N lon 153.9E...or about 1,010 km ESE of Guam...2,060 km East of P.A.R...3,075 km East of Visayas. It has 1-min. windspeeds of 30 kph near the center. The latest (8AM Oct 25) European Forecast Guidance Model (ECMWF, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), which is the better and most-reliable guidance model this 2009 - continues to show this system heading westward (aka. "Straight-Runner") into the Philippine Sea, early next week, becoming a dangerous tropical storm or minimal typhoon as it approaches Luzon, Philippines on Thursday-Friday, October 29-30 and striking Northern Bicol-Polillo-NCR/Central Luzon Area on Halloween Weekend, Saturday-Sunday (Oct 31 to Nov 01). Please take note that this model changes every 12 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.