SUPER TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 260 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 210 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 205 km/hr

SUPER TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
1:30 PM PST (21:00 GMT)
Mon 05 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #024
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Super Typhoon MELOR (20W) is now entering the northeastern boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...and will be named locally as QUEDAN.

*Residents and visitors along the Okinawa, Ryukyus and Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to start changing its couse to the NW to NNW within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow evening and shall start recurving (NE-ward) into the strong westerlies...bringing MELOR towards Southern Honshu. The core shall be passing over the southern coast of Honshu on Thursday afternoon, Oct 08...about 120 km. South of Tokyo. MELOR shall become Extratropical on Friday Oct 9.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains very impressive and continues to exhibit a well-defined, 46-km. wide round EYE. This extremely powerful system is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center or along the Eyewall of this Super Typhoon.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 1:30 PM PST Mon October 05 2009
Location of Eye: 19.2º N Lat 134.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,345 km (725 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 1,605 km (865 nm) ESE of TS PARMA
Distance 3: 1,545 km (835 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Okinawa-Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 945 km (510 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 41 ft (12.4 m)
Wunderground TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Oct 05
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Oct 05
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop