TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (QUEDAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 015
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Wed 07 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #031
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) still moving quickly Northward...endangers Japan.

*Residents and visitors along the Okinawa, Ryukyus and Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to start moving NE'ly into Japan. It shall make landfall just south of Kyoto early tomorrow morning and move across Central Honshu and be downgraded into a Tropical Storm tomorrow afternoon. It shall pass more or less 100 km. north of Tokyo around 5PM JST. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows MELOR exiting Honshu and moving fast across the slightly cooler ocean waters south of Kuril Islands - becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Saturday, Oct 10.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains strong but more elongated to the NE through Japan as it starts merging w/ a front system. This powerful system is now bringing strong winds and heavy rains across Japan. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center or along the Eyewall of this powerful Typhoon.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Wed October 07 2009
Location of Eye: 26.5º N Lat 130.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 280 km (150 nm) East of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 1,115 km (602 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 565 km (305 nm) South of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 4: 1,365 km (737 nm) NE of TS PARMA (PEPENG)
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 165 kph (90 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 205 kph (110 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 905 km (490 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 36 ft (10.9 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Wed Oct 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 AM Wed Oct 7
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Wed Oct 7
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop