TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]

MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 180 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 170 km/hr

TYPHOON MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 008
11:00 AM PST (03:00 GMT)
Sat 03 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #016
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Typhoon MELOR (20W) regains Category 4 strength...approaching Northern Marianas.

*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to continue and intensify while moving WNW w/in the next 24 to 48 hours, passing north of Saipan early tonight. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR continuing moving WNW across the Western Pacific Ocean reaching near Super Typhoon strength tomorrow. This system shall start recurving northeastward in the direction of Southern Japan on Tuesday Oct 06.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains organized over the past 12 hours and approaching Northern Marianas...Its inner rainbands is now moving into Saipan area...outer bands spreading across the rest of the Marianas. Eyewall expected to move into Saipan before or after sunset. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of the storm.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PST Fri October 02 2009
Location of Eye: 16.3º N Lat 146.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 160 km (87 nm) NE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 380 km (205 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 215 kph (115 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 260 kph (140 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 4
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Northern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 33 ft (10.05 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 11 AM PST Sat Oct 03
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00 GMT Sat Oct 03
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sat Oct 3
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop