TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [LABUYO]

93W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [LABUYO]


T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 03 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATELLITE FIX
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression 93W (LABUYO) continues to organize and has moved WSW...threatens Extreme Northern Luzon.

*Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon, Taiwan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of 93W (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 93W (LABUYO) is expected to become a Tropical Storm later tonight and slow down. It shall bring bad weather across Extreme Northern Luzon & Taiwan this weekend. Watch for more forecast outlook tomorrow as forecast guidance models become fully available.

+ Effects: Broad and expanding rain bands of 93W continues spreading across the eastern coast of Luzon particularly the Bicol Region. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 100 mm can be expected along the Bicol Region increasing to 200 mm along the storm's inner rain bands...Isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm is possible near the center of 93W. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional thunderstorms and rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN MINDANAO, VISAYAS, PALAWAN & WESTERN MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) quasi-stationary and partially exposed near the coast of Vietnam...currently located near lat 15.4N lon 110.1E...or about 220 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...Quasi-Stationary.

(2) Tropical Disturbance 97W (LPA) circulating over the Marshall Islands has dissipated.

The 1st system (95W) will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 3 to 5 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu September 03 2009
Location of Center: 17.2º N Lat 127.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 660 km (357 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 670 km (362 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 720 km (388 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 60 kph (33 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 80 kph (43 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 15 kph (08 kt)
General Direction: Batanes-Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time