Friday, September 4, 2009

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]

MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 008
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 04 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #004
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) has accelerated ENE-ward and slightly intensified...no longer a threat to the Philippines.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to continue accelerating towards the NE or NNE across the warm Northern Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday afternoon Sep 08 and likewise becoming a minimal Typhoon. It shall be approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu, Japan on Wednesday Sep 09.

+ Effects: DUJUAN's broad circulation continues to hover across the Northern Philippine Sea with no land areas affected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of DUJUAN.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 60 kph with occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, CENTRAL, WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON, WESTERN BICOL REGION INCLUDING MASBATE, PARTS OF THE VISAYAS, PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has weakened near the coast of Vietnam but may redevelop within the next 1 to 2 days...currently located near lat 14.6N lon 109.5E...or about 215 km SSE of Da Nang, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...moving SSE slowly.

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 48 to 72 hours. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Fri September 04 2009
Location of Center: 18.6º N Lat 130.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 905 km (490 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 915 km (495 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 925 km (500 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: ENE @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 1,110 km (600 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 ft (6.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Fri Sep 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Fri Sep 04
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri Sep 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now lowered: CAGAYAN & ISABELA.

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