Sunday, September 6, 2009

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]

DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]


T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sun 06 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #011
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) accelerating Northward w/ no change in strength.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan, Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to continue moving NNE across the warm Western Pacific Ocean, NW of Iwo To for the next 24 hours. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system becoming a minimal Category 1 Typhoon tomorrow evening and shall pass between south of Honshu, Japan and north Chichi Jima Island on Tuesday Sep 08. DUJUAN shall transform into an Extratropical Cyclone on Wednesday or Thursday (Sep 09-10) while over the open waters of the NW Pacific Ocean - moving on a NE track.

+ Effects: DUJUAN's broad circulation continues to hover across the Northeasternmost Philippine Sea with no land areas affected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of DUJUAN.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN BICOL REGION INCLUDING MASBATE, WESTERN & CENTRAL VISAYAS, NORTHERN PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun September 06 2009
Location of Center: 25.4º N Lat 135.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 535 km (288 nm) WSW of Chichi Jima
Distance 2: 790 km (427 nm) ESE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 1,525 km (825 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sun Sep 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sun Sep 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sun Sep 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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