Thursday, September 10, 2009

TROPICAL STORM MUJIGAE [MARING/14W/0913]

MUJIGAE (MARING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 60 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM MUJIGAE [MARING/14W/0913]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 10 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm MUJIGAE (MARING) now tracking Westward, closer to Hainan Island.

*Residents and visitors along Western Guangdong & Hainan Island should closely monitor the progress of MUJIGAE.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MUJIGAE is expected to continue tracking Westward for the next 24 hours, making landfall and crossing Hainan Island tomorrow afternoon. The 2 to 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system traversing the Gulf of Tonkin tomorrow evening as a weakened Tropical Depression. It shall make its final landfall off the coast of Northern Vietnam on Saturday evening, Sep 12 and dissipate over Northern Vietnam on Sunday Sep 13.

+ Effects: MUJIGAE's compact circulation still out at sea but its western rainbands affecting Hainan and Western Guangdong. Deteriorating tropical storm conditions can be expected tonight until tomorrow as the system moves ashore. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 300 mm can be expected along MUJIGAE's rainbands.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) remains off the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 11.3N lon 135.8E...or about 1,135 km East of Samar...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...moving Westward slowly.

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 to 72 hours. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu September 10 2009
Location of Center: 19.3º N Lat 113.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 285 km (155 nm) East of Qionghai, Hainan
Distance 2: 325 km (175 nm) SSW of Macau
Distance 3: 350 km (190 nm) SSW of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 360 km (195 nm) SE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 5: 780 km (427 nm) WNW of Laoag City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
General Direction: Hainan Island
Size (in Diameter): 390 km (210 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
HKO TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Sep 10
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu Sep 10
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Thu Sep 10
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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