TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]

DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 05 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #008
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) is about to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...intensifying and accelerating NE-ward towards the Southern Coast of Japan.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan, Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to turn NNE across the warm Western Pacific Ocean, SW of Iwo To for the next 24 hours. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system becoming a minimal Category 1 Typhoon early Monday morning Sep 7. It shall pass to the south of Honshu, Japan on Tuesday afternoon Sep 08 on a fast NE or ENE track...becoming Extratropical on Wednesday or Thursday (Sep 09-10).

+ Effects: DUJUAN's broad circulation continues to hover across the Northern Philippine Sea with no land areas affected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of DUJUAN.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: SOUTHWESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON, WESTERN BICOL REGION INCLUDING MASBATE, VISAYAS, PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat September 05 2009
Location of Center: 21.9º N Lat 134.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 730 km (395 nm) WSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 865 km (467 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 1,355 km (730 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NE @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 27 ft (8.2 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Sep 05
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sat Sep 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sat Sep 05
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop