Thursday, September 3, 2009

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]

DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr T

ROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 04 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #003
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) tracking Northeastward across the Northern Philippine Sea...Outer rainbands has left the Bicol Region.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to accelerate to the NE or NNE across the warm Northern Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday Sep 08 and becoming a minimal Typhoon on Monday Sep 07. It shall be approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu, Japan on Wednesday Sep 09.

+ Effects: Broad circulation of DUJUAN remains over the Northern Philippine Sea and is no longer affecting the Bicol Region. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 5 up to 10 mm can be expected along the Bicol Region, increasing to 200 mm along the storm's inner rain bands...Isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm is possible near the center of DUJUAN.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional thunderstorms and rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, CENTRAL & SOUTHERN LUZON, WESTERN BICOL REGION INCLUDING MASBATE, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) partially exposed near the coast of Vietnam but may develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours...currently located near lat 15.4N lon 109.2E...or about 130 km SE of Da Nang, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...Quasi-Stationary.

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri September 04 2009
Location of Center: 17.8º N Lat 129.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 860 km (465 nm) East of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 860 km (465 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 870 km (470 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 992 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NE @ 11 kph (06 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 835 km (450 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 ft (5.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Sep 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri Sep 04
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Fri Sep 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
In Effect: CAGAYAN & ISABELA.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

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