TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W [MARING]

14W (MARING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W [MARING]


T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 09 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression 90W MARING) rapidly accelerating Northwestward away from Western Luzon...almost a Tropical Storm...now threatens Southern China, particularly Western Guangdong and Hainan Island.

*Residents and visitors along Southern and Southwestern China & Hainan Island should closely monitor the progress of 14W (MARING).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 14W is expected to reach Tropical Storm status within the next 24 hours and turn more to the WNW. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system approaching the coast of Western Guangdong and Northern part of Hainan Island on Saturday afternoon as a strong 85-kph storm. 14W shall make landfall over Western Guangdong on Saturday night, Sep 12 and weaken rapidly as it moves inland across SW China.

+ Effects: 14W's compact circulation has moved completely over the open waters of the South China Sea...shall start to affect the coastal areas of Southern China beginning tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 300 mm can be expected along the depression's rain bands.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with occasional widespread rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, BATAAN, ZAMBALES, PANGASINAN, PARTS OF VISAYAS AND WESTERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed September 09 2009
Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 117.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 350 km (188 nm) West of Laoag City
Distance 2: 340 km (183 nm) WNW of Vigan City
Distance 3: 540 km (290 nm) SE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 570 km (308 nm) SE of Macau
Distance 5: 780 km (420 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 60 kph (33 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 80 kph (43 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0.0 m]
Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 22 kph
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 400 km (215 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Sep 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed Sep 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now lowered: ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, LA UNION, ABRA, PANGASINAN, & ZAMBALES.