Monday, September 28, 2009

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]

18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Mon 28 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #004
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) has tracked more to the SW and still consolidating east of TD 19W (Pre-PEPENG).

*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to start tracking WNW for the next 24 hours and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system continuing WNW-ward, passing very close to the south of Guam by Wednesday morning Sep 30...reaching Typhoon status on Saturday morning, Oct 3rd while over the Philippine Sea. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday evening, Oct 2nd. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.

+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon September 28 2009
Location of Center: 9.1º N Lat 155.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,230 km (665 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,235 km (667 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,875 km (1,012 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 4: 2,215 km (1,195 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 3,255 km (1,758 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SW @ 11 kph (06 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 11 AM PST Mon Sep 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00 GMT Mon Sep 28
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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