Saturday, September 12, 2009

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [91W]

NANDO (91W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [91W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 12 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression NANDO (91W) accelerates...now approaching the coast of Northern Isabela & Cagayan. Landfall expected over Cagayan and Northern Isabela late tonight or early tomorrow morning...Heavy Rainbands now affecting Northern Luzon.

*Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon should closely monitor the progress of NANDO.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: NANDO is expected to continue tracking WNW, making landfall over Southern Cagayan late tonight. The depression shall traverse Northern Luzon late tonight and shall be off the west coast of Luzon or along Ilocos Provinces tomorrow morning...and over the South China Sea tomorrow afternoon.

+ Effects: NANDO's broad circulation continues to spread across the whole of Luzon becoming more intense along Northern Luzon. Moderate to heavy rains with gusty winds can be expected across Northern Luzon tonight until tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm along the heavy rainbands and mountain slopes. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 30 kph with occasional widespread rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat September 12 2009
Location of Center: 17.2º N Lat 123.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 145 km (78 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 145 km (78 nm) NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 3: 190 km (102 nm) SE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 275 km (148 nm) ESE of Laoag City
Distance 5: 280 km (150 nm) ESE of Vigan City
Distance 6: 380 km (205 nm) SSE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
General Direction: Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Sat Sep 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sat Sep 12
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now In Effect: BABUYAN GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, APAYAO, CAGAYAN, ABRA, KALINGA, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, AND ISABELA.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight until tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

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