TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [16W]

NANDO (16W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANDO [16W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 13 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #002
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression NANDO (16W) has accelerated WSW-ward...continues to consolidate over the South China Sea, just WNW of Ilocos Norte.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of NANDO.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: NANDO is expected to become a tropical storm and track West to WNW across the South China Sea within the next 12 to 24 hours. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system reaching peak strength of 85 kph as it passes about 200 km to the south of Hong Kong and Macau on early Tuesday morning Sep 15. It shall then make landfall over the Southwestern part of Guangdong Province, just north of Hainan Island on Wednesday Sep 16 and dissipate overland, near the Northern Vietnam-China border on Thursday Sep 17.

+ Effects: NANDO's circulation has remained over the South China Sea. Its Northern, NW and Western outer rainbands of NANDO is expected to reach the coastal areas of Southern China including Hainan Island later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near its center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional chance of light rains w/ some thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, ZAMBALES, LA UNION, PANGASINAN, LUBANG ISLAND, WESTERN MINDORO, & BATAAN.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun September 13 2009
Location of Center: 18.9º N Lat 118.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 255 km (137 nm) WNW of Laoag City
Distance 2: 570 km (308 nm) SE of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 610 km (330 nm) SE of Macau
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 28 kph (15 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Sep 13
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sun Sep 13
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE AND ILOCOS SUR.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.