Saturday, July 18, 2009

TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH
Tropical Storm Molave
( Isang )



MOLAVE (ISANG) has made landfall near Hong Kong between 2-3AM early this morning as a 120-kph Typhoon...now moving across Western Guangdong, just north of Macau as a weakened Tropical Storm.

Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW across Western Guangdong this morning. MOLAVE will start to dissipate later this afternoon until early tomorrow while moving overland, across the mountainous terrain of Western Guangdong.

Effects: MOLAVE's weakening core (Eye & Eyewall) is now moving away to the west of Hong Kong or just north of Macau. Gale force winds of up to 100 kph with widespread rains will continue to prevail over Macau, Hong Kong and Western Guangdong. Its outer and inner rainbands continues to weaken as it spreads across other parts of SW China and Hainan Island. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 100 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm along mountain slopes near the center of MOLAVE. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Gunagdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.

Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA & THE COASTAL AREAS OF WESTERN LUZON.



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