TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [97W]

97W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [97W]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Satfix/PAGASA (Signals)
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression 97W is now named by PAGASA as TINO...may turn southwestward (SW) towards the coast of Northern Quezon due to the approaching cold surge of the NE Monsoon. Widespread "on and off" rains expected across Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region.

*Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of TINO (97W).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: TINO is expected to continue moving SW-ward within the next 12 to 24 hours and dissipate. The 24-hr T2K Short-Range forecast shows the system dissipating along the coast of Northern Quezon as the surge of cold Northeast Monsoon will bring dry air into its circulation. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: TINO's circulation has become more compact and smaller as cold dry air from the surge of NE Monsoon from China continues to affect the system. Within the next 2 days, its remnants will bring scattered to widespread rains across Luzon particularly Northern Quezon, Bicol Region and Central Luzon including Metro Manila. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon November 02 2009
Location of Center: 17.1º N Lat 124.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 265 km (143 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 275 km (148 nm) East of Ilagan City, Isabela
Distance 3: 290 km (157 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 330 km (178 nm) ENE of Baler, Aurora
Distance 5: 410 km (220 nm) NNE of Naga City
Distance 6: 450 km (245 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Click to view: 97W's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Quezon
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap #03 (for Public): 6 PM PST Mon Nov 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 6 AM Mon Nov 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now In Effect: ISABELA, CAGAYAN, BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN ISLANDS.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph tonight & tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).