Sunday, November 22, 2009

Tropical Depression 26W continues to gain strength



at 220600z, tropical depression 26w (twentysix) was
located near 7.5n 148.5e, approximately 410 nm southeast of Guam,
and had tracked north-northwestward at 09 knots over the past six
hours. Maximum sustained surface winds were estimated at 30 knots
gusting to 40 knots. See ref a (wtpn31 pgtw 220900) for further
details.


046

wtpn31 pgtw 230300
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical depression 26w (twentysix) warning nr 005
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only
---
warning position:
230000z --- near 8.1n 148.9e
movement past six hours - 010 degrees at 05 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 8.1n 148.9e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
231200z --- 8.7n 148.0e
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 24 hr posit: 295 deg/ 05 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
240000z --- 9.1n 147.1e
Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 050 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
050 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 295 deg/ 08 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
241200z --- 9.8n 145.6e
Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
055 nm southeast quadrant
055 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 315 deg/ 07 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
250000z --- 10.8n 144.5e
Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant
025 nm southeast quadrant
025 nm southwest quadrant
025 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 080 nm northeast quadrant
070 nm southeast quadrant
070 nm southwest quadrant
075 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 72 hr posit: 325 deg/ 08 kts
---
72 hrs, valid at:
260000z --- 13.3n 142.6e
Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
035 nm southeast quadrant
035 nm southwest quadrant
040 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant
090 nm southeast quadrant
090 nm southwest quadrant
100 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 96 hr posit: 330 deg/ 08 kts
---
long range outlook:
note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity
near 20 kt each day.
---
96 hrs, valid at:
270000z --- 15.9n 140.9e
Max sustained winds - 075 kt, gusts 090 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 120 hr posit: 335 deg/ 08 kts
---
120 hrs, valid at:
280000z --- 18.8n 139.5e
Max sustained winds - 090 kt, gusts 110 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
---
remarks:
230300z position near 8.2n 148.7e.
Tropical depression 26w, located approximately 395 nm southeast of
Guam, has tracked northward at 05 knots over the past six hours.
Maximum significant wave height at 230000z is 12 feet. Next warnings
at 230900z, 231500z, 232100z and 240300z.//

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