Monday, November 2, 2009

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [24W]

TINO (24W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO [24W]
T2K INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Tue 03 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression TINO (24W) dissipating off Northern Camarines Sur...now in the vicinity of Siruma-Tinambac border. Windy conditions w/ drizzle to light rains can be expected.

*All Philippine Storm Warning Signals elsewhere has already been lifted, as PAGASA dissipates TINO into a Low Pressure Area (LPA)..

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: TINO is expected to continue moving SW within the next 12 to 24 hours and is expected to weaken into a tropical disturbance (LPA) later and may dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte.

+ Effects: TINO's circulation has been shattered by the strong surge of cold NE Monsoon. This system will dissipate along the mountains of Camarines Norte and Southern Quezon. Only drizzle to light rains w/ strong winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected today across Northern Bicol Region and Southern Quezon...Sunlight conditions can also be expected as the depression's clouds are currently thin especially near its low-level circulation center (LLCC). 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 25 mm (light rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 50 mm (moderate rain) near the center of TINO. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Bicol Region, Quezon, Northern Visayas and Aurora. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong northeasterly winds not in excess of 70 kph with occasional widespread showers, rains, squalls (subasko) and low temperatures can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON including METRO MANILA, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue November 03 2009
Location of Center: 13.9º N Lat 123.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 10 km (5 nm) North of Tinambac, Cam Sur
Distance 2: 11 km (6 nm) SSE of Siruma, Cam Sur
Distance 3: 25 km (13 nm) NE of Calabanga, Cam Sur
Distance 4: 35 km (19 nm) NNE of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 5: 50 km (27 nm) ESE of Daet, Cam Norte
Distance 6: 55 km (30 nm) West of Gota Beach, Caramoan
Distance 7: 195 km (105 nm) East of Lucena City
Distance 8: 250 km (135 nm) ESE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Click to view: TINO's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 50 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: SW @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Camarines Provinces
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap #04 (for Public): 12 PM PST Tue Nov 03
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Nov 03
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

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