Tropical Depression 97w now develops heading towards extreme Northern Luzon

97W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97W [UNNAMED]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 001
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Satfix & TCFA/JMA Warning
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

The strong tropical disturbance (LPA) over the Philippine Sea, east of Luzon has developed into Tropical Depression 97W (UNNAMED)...currently moving towards the WNW...threatening Northern Luzon.

*Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of 97W (UNNAMED).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 97W is expected to track WNW to Westward within the next 12 to 24 hours. The 2-day T2K Short-Range forecast shows the system crossing Extreme Northern Luzon via Cagayan tomorrow and will traverse Apayao and exit Luzon into the South China Sea thru Ilocos Provinces on Wednesday Nov 04. This system may weaken into a disturbance (LPA) as it crosses Extreme Northern Luzon due to a cold surge of Northeast Monsoon which will bring dry air into its circulation. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: 97W's developing circulation continues to improve. This system is not yet affecting any parts of the Philippines, however if its forecast track continues, deteriorating weather conditions can be expected across Extreme Northern Luzon beginning tonight or tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon November 02 2009
Location of Center: 18.0º N Lat 126.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 490 km (265 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 500 km (270 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 530 km (285 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 590 km (318 nm) NE of Naga City
Distance 5: 605 km (325 nm) East of Laoag City
Distance 6: 670 km (360 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Click to view: 97W's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap #01 (for Public): 6 AM PST Mon Nov 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 6 AM Mon Nov 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time