NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 180 kph
TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 026
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT)
Mon 30 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #034 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon NIDA (26W) still almost stationary but with a very slow drift towards the WNW.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon Nov 30 2009
Location of Eye: 19.9º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 595 km (322 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 430 km (232 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,760 km (950 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 185 kph (100 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 230 kph (125 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 3
Present Movement: WNW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Western Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): 760 km (410 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 9-12 feet [2.7-3.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Nov 30
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue drifting very slowly WNW and will weaken within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system just a Tropical Storm as strong upper-level winds (Vertical Wind Shear) and cold dry air from the surge of NE Monsoon (Amihan) affects the system by Thursday afternoon (2PM Dec 03: 20.4N 136.0E). NIDA will rapidly dissipate along the NE portion of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while moving WSW slowly on Friday until Saturday (2PM Dec 04: 20.2N 135.3E...2PM Dec 05: 19.8N 134.6E). Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida or along the Northern EyeWall. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains and squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION AND NORTHERN SAMAR. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
DISCUSSION:
744
wdpn31 pgtw 300300
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/prognostic reasoning for typhoon 26w (Nida) warning nr 33//
rmks/
1. For meteorologists.
2. 12 hour summary and analysis.
A. Typhoon (TY) 26w (Nida), located approximately 330 nm south-
southwest of iwo to, has remained quasi-stationary (qs) over the
past six hours. Animated multispectral satellite imagery depicts
weakening convection over all quadrants with a ragged 50nm eye. TY
26w has, in fact, remained qs over the past 36 hours and is likely
weakening due to a combination of dry air entrainment (dae) and cold
water upwelling. The total precipitable water (tpw) products
indicate dry air advection just west of the system with a wedge of
dry air (25-40mm) wrapping into the northeast quadrant. A 292032z
SSMI/S image depicts eyewall erosion to the south as dry air is
being pulled into the core, and a round 50nm diameter eye. Animated
water vapor imagery continues to show good radial outflow with
enhanced poleward outflow into the midlatitude westerlies. There is
fair confidence in the current position and motion due to the
erratic slow track and large eye, however, 37 ghz microwave imagery
supports both. The current intensity of 100 knots is based on the
higher Dvorak estimates ranging from 77 to 102 knots. The 29/12z 500
mb analysis depicts a weak mid-level steering environment with TY
26w positioned between the subtropical ridge (str) to the east and
west with strong midlatitude (zonal) westerlies north of 25n. The
upper-level flow remains high zonal across Asia with no significant
mid-level short-wave troughs evident in the upstream flow (in
imagery as well). The 30/00z surface analysis depicts strong low-
level ridging entrenched north and west of TY 26w.
3. Forecast reasoning.
A. No changes to forecast philosophy.
B. Numerical guidance remains in poor agreement with two
distinct clusters; NOGAPS, GFDN, and WBAR still favor a recurvature
scenario and track the system north-northeastward to northeastward
rapidly, while JGSM, tc-laps, ukmo, ECMWF, and GFS favor a slower
westward track with dissipation. The official forecast favors the
slow westward movement with dissipation after tau 72. As the system
weakens, steering is expected to shift to the low-levels and TY 26w
is likely to track westward to southwestward under the northeasterly
flow. The dissipation scenario is based on increasing vertical wind
shear due to a combination of low-level northeasterly flow,
associated with the ridge building north of the system, and zonal
upper-level westerly flow as well as dae and cool water upwelling.
C. In the extended Taus, TY 26w will continue to weaken and
should turn southwestward and accelerate within the low-level flow.
There is still uncertainty with the timing of the dissipation and
the turn southwestward. Additionally, several models indicate that
the remnants will track cyclonically and get absorbed into a
developing storm near or northwest of Guam.//
Monday, November 30, 2009
Sunday, November 29, 2009
NIDA (26W) downgraded to a Typhoon...still at Category 4...still barely moving.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 185 kph
TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 022
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Sun 29 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #029 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
NIDA (26W) downgraded to a Typhoon...still at Category 4...still barely moving.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun Nov 29 2009
Location of Eye: 19.4º N Lat 139.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 635 km (343 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 230 kph (125 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 280 kph (150 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 929 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 37 ft (11.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sun Nov 29
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift very slowly northward and will start decaying within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm as strong upper-level winds (Vertical Wind Shear) affects the system on Wednesday morning (8AM Dec 02: 22.3N 140.3E)...about 295 km SSW of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to rapidly decay - turning more to the West slowly and dissipate to the SW of Iwo To beginning Thursday until Friday (8AM Dec 03: 22.8N 140.2E...8AM Dec 4: 22.5N 139.5E). There are still some models that forecast the soon-to-be-dissipating system tracking West to WSW into the Philippine Sea due to the strong surge of NE Monsoon (Amihan) approaching from China. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Extreme Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W)
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT)
Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #026 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extreme Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) still nearly stationary...weakened slightly to 270 km/hr (Category 5).
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift slowly northeastward and will start weakening within the next 2 days. It will pass due south of Iwo To Monday afternoon (2PM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.6E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 23.5N 143.5E)...about 265 km SE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday afternoon (2PM Dec 02: 25.7N 148.9E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models still shows a track towards the Philippine Sea. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8AM today (Nov 28), still predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West or WSW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA remains over open seas as it remains as a large and dangerous super typhoon. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT)
Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #026 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extreme Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) still nearly stationary...weakened slightly to 270 km/hr (Category 5).
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift slowly northeastward and will start weakening within the next 2 days. It will pass due south of Iwo To Monday afternoon (2PM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.6E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 23.5N 143.5E)...about 265 km SE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday afternoon (2PM Dec 02: 25.7N 148.9E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models still shows a track towards the Philippine Sea. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8AM today (Nov 28), still predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West or WSW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA remains over open seas as it remains as a large and dangerous super typhoon. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Powerful Super Typhoon NIDA (26W)
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Fri 27 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #021 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Powerful Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) moving slowly northward...weakened into a Category 4.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri Nov 27 2009
Location of Eye: 17.4º N Lat 139.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 745 km (402 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 445 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,775 km (958 nm) East of Northern Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 42 ft (12.8 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Nov 27
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue on its slow track and weaken further down to Category 3 as it begins recurvature for the the next 2 days. The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Category 1 Typhoon and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the NE or ENE by Monday morning (8AM Nov 30: 23.6N 143.8E)...about 2,270 km East of Taiwan or 285 km ESE of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima). NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Tuesday (8AM Dec 01: 29.5N 152.4E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Partly sunny to cloudy skies & light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 30 kph) with occasional rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form from JTWC and other source agencies for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Pressure Estimates & Philipppine Storm Warning Signals by: NRL & PAGASA. Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA). Live Naga City weather conditions (if available) taken from T2K`s new DAVIS VANTAGE PRO2 Digital Weather Station.
THE NEXT T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM TODAY.
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Fri 27 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #021 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Powerful Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) moving slowly northward...weakened into a Category 4.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri Nov 27 2009
Location of Eye: 17.4º N Lat 139.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 745 km (402 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 445 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,775 km (958 nm) East of Northern Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 42 ft (12.8 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Nov 27
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue on its slow track and weaken further down to Category 3 as it begins recurvature for the the next 2 days. The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Category 1 Typhoon and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the NE or ENE by Monday morning (8AM Nov 30: 23.6N 143.8E)...about 2,270 km East of Taiwan or 285 km ESE of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima). NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Tuesday (8AM Dec 01: 29.5N 152.4E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Partly sunny to cloudy skies & light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 30 kph) with occasional rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form from JTWC and other source agencies for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Pressure Estimates & Philipppine Storm Warning Signals by: NRL & PAGASA. Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA). Live Naga City weather conditions (if available) taken from T2K`s new DAVIS VANTAGE PRO2 Digital Weather Station.
THE NEXT T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM TODAY.
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W)
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #018 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) continues to wane in intensity while slowing down over the Western Pacific Ocean...remains at Category 5, carrying winds of 270 km/hr with higher gusts.
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 15.5º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 575 km (310 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 525 km (283 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,895 km (1,025 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 44 ft (13.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue losing strength and slow down further as it turns northward within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system weakening to a Category 2 and will begin to recurve sharply towards the NE by Sunday afternoon (2PM Nov 29: 22.2N 140.4E)...about 1,950 km East of Taiwan or 305 km SSW of Iwo To. NIDA will accelerate ENE-ward on Monday (2PM Nov 30: 25.5N 144.7E)...and will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs) affects its circulation and start transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 29.8N 153.1E). Based on this forecast, this system is not forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #018 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) continues to wane in intensity while slowing down over the Western Pacific Ocean...remains at Category 5, carrying winds of 270 km/hr with higher gusts.
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 15.5º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 575 km (310 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 525 km (283 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,895 km (1,025 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 44 ft (13.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue losing strength and slow down further as it turns northward within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system weakening to a Category 2 and will begin to recurve sharply towards the NE by Sunday afternoon (2PM Nov 29: 22.2N 140.4E)...about 1,950 km East of Taiwan or 305 km SSW of Iwo To. NIDA will accelerate ENE-ward on Monday (2PM Nov 30: 25.5N 144.7E)...and will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs) affects its circulation and start transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 29.8N 153.1E). Based on this forecast, this system is not forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
NIDA (26W) reaches Super Typhoon strength
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 180 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 160 kph SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 25 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #014 & RadarFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) NIDA (26W) reaches Super Typhoon strength while continuing its journey across the Western Pacific Ocean, WSW of Guam...now a Category 5 howler w/ winds of 250 km/hr. Outer rainbands spreading across Guam and the Southern Marianas.
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed Nov 25 2009
Location of Eye: 12.3º N Lat 142.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 285 km (183 nm) WSW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 565 km (305 nm) NE of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 805 km (435 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 1,835 km (990 nm) East of Visayas, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 250 kph (135 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 305 kph (165 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 922 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 24 ft (7.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Nov 25
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is currently displaying a well-defined 30-km. diameter eye, surrounded with an intense eyewall...and is expected to continue moving NW to NNW for the next 5 days, reaching its peak winds of 270 km/hr by tomorrow afternoon (2PM Nov 26: 14.8N 140.6E). The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system maintaining its Category 5 strength until early Friday morning (2AM Nov 27: 16.0N 139.9E)...while about 1,890 km East of Northern Luzon. NIDA will start to slow down and begin turning northward while losing strength on late Friday until Monday, as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) affects its circulation (2PM Nov 28: 18.6N 138.3E...2PM Nov 29: 19.6N 137.9E...2PM Nov 30: 21.1N 137.7E). Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's northeastern outer rainbands now spreading across Southern Marianas including Guam, bringing moderate to sometimes heavy squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Southern Marianas including Guam. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
TROPICAL DEPRESSION URDUJA [27W]
URDUJA (27W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION URDUJA [27W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis & JTWC Warning #04/SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression URDUJA (27W) losing organization and weakening...drifting southwest closer to Siargao Island. Rainbands still affecting Visayas and Northern Mindanao.
*Residents and visitors along Eastern and Central Visayas should closely monitor the progress of URDUJA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue November 24 2009
Location of Center: 9.8º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (25 nm) East of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 100 km (55 nm) East of Surigao City
Distance 3: 225 km (122 nm) SE of Tacloban City
Distance 4: 240 km (130 nm) SE of Ormoc City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: SW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Surigao Provinces
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
T2K TrackMap #04 (for Public): 6 PM PST Tue Nov 24
+ Forecast Outlook: URDUJA is expected to slow down and track SW to Southward into Surigao del Norte. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system moving overland across Surigao del Norte by tomorrow afternoon (2PM Nov 25: 9.5N 125.8E) and will dissipate into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA). Complete dissipation of this system is forecast by early Thursday morning while over the mountains of Agusan Del Norte. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: URDUJA's rainbands remain sheared to the west and continues to dump scattered to widespread rains across Northern Mindanao and the whole of the Visayas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 75 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (very heavy to extreme rain)off its inner bands especially over the islands of Leyte, Bohol, Cebu and Negros. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
In Effect: BOHOL, LEYTE PROVINCES, CAMOTES ISLAND, BILIRAN, EASTERN SAMAR, WESTERN SAMAR, SURIGAO PROVINCES, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, SIARGAO ISLAND, & CAMIGUIN ISLAND.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas which are under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION URDUJA [27W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis & JTWC Warning #04/SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression URDUJA (27W) losing organization and weakening...drifting southwest closer to Siargao Island. Rainbands still affecting Visayas and Northern Mindanao.
*Residents and visitors along Eastern and Central Visayas should closely monitor the progress of URDUJA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue November 24 2009
Location of Center: 9.8º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (25 nm) East of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 100 km (55 nm) East of Surigao City
Distance 3: 225 km (122 nm) SE of Tacloban City
Distance 4: 240 km (130 nm) SE of Ormoc City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: SW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Surigao Provinces
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
T2K TrackMap #04 (for Public): 6 PM PST Tue Nov 24
+ Forecast Outlook: URDUJA is expected to slow down and track SW to Southward into Surigao del Norte. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system moving overland across Surigao del Norte by tomorrow afternoon (2PM Nov 25: 9.5N 125.8E) and will dissipate into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA). Complete dissipation of this system is forecast by early Thursday morning while over the mountains of Agusan Del Norte. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: URDUJA's rainbands remain sheared to the west and continues to dump scattered to widespread rains across Northern Mindanao and the whole of the Visayas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 75 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (very heavy to extreme rain)off its inner bands especially over the islands of Leyte, Bohol, Cebu and Negros. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
In Effect: BOHOL, LEYTE PROVINCES, CAMOTES ISLAND, BILIRAN, EASTERN SAMAR, WESTERN SAMAR, SURIGAO PROVINCES, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, SIARGAO ISLAND, & CAMIGUIN ISLAND.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas which are under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
Typhoon NIDA (26W)
000
WTPQ31 PGUM 241321
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TYPHOON NIDA (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262009
1100 PM CHST TUE NOV 24 2009
...TYPHOON NIDA IS ONCE AGAIN ON THE MOVE...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI.
A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 39
TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NIDA WAS LOCATED BY
MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.0 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF FARAULEP
130 MILES NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI
315 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM
375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
310 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FAIS.
470 MILES EAST OF YAP.
TYPHOON NIDA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. NIDA IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NIDA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.
$$
STANKO
WTPQ31 PGUM 241321
TCPPQ1
BULLETIN
TYPHOON NIDA (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262009
1100 PM CHST TUE NOV 24 2009
...TYPHOON NIDA IS ONCE AGAIN ON THE MOVE...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI.
A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 39
TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
AT 1000 PM CHST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NIDA WAS LOCATED BY
MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.0 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF FARAULEP
130 MILES NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI
315 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM
375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
310 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FAIS.
470 MILES EAST OF YAP.
TYPHOON NIDA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. NIDA IS
EXPECTED TO MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. NIDA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.
$$
STANKO
Monday, November 23, 2009
Tropical Depression URDUJA (93W)
6PM Nov 23: 10.0N 126.4E 55 kph NW @ 07 kph Leyte-Samar
Tropical Depression "URDUJA" has accelerated and is heading towards Visayas.
Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 p.m.) 70 kms East Northeast of Surigao City
Coordinates: 10.2°N, 126.0°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near center
Movement: West Northwest at 15 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Tuesday morning:
is expected to make landfall over Leyte
Tuesday evening:
40 kms East Southeast of Roxas City
Wednesday evening:
120 kms West Northwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro
Thursday evening:
450 kms Northwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro
Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal
PSWS # Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds) Masbate
Eastern Samar
Western Samar
Biliran
Leyte Provinces
Cebu
Camotes Island
Bohol
Negros Provinces
Aklan
Capiz
Antique
Iloilo
Guimaras
Camiguin
Agusan del Norte
Surigao del Norte
Surigao del Sur
Dinagat
Siargao Island
Residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes in areas under PSWS # 1 are advised to take all the necessary precautionary measures against possible flashfloods and landslides.
The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Tropical Storm 26W (UNNAMED)
6PM Nov 23: 8.5N 147.4E 65 kph WNW @ 13 kph Southern Marianas
at 231200z, tropical storm 26w (Nida) was located near
8.8n 147.0e, approximately 307 nm south-southeast of Guam, and had
tracked west-northwestward at 09 knots over the past six hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds were estimated at 35 knots gusting
to 45 knots. See ref a (wtpn31 pgtw 231500) for further details.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262009
800 PM CHST MON NOV 23 2009
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS INTENSIFIED TO A TROPICAL STORM...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.
AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 26W WAS NEAR
LATITUDE 8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.6 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 300 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK
140 MILES NORTHWEST OF PULUWAT
140 MILES WEST OF ULUL
85 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SATAWAL
210 MILES EAST OF FARAULEP
395 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
475 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN
650 MILES EAST OF YAP.
TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT AROUND 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 700 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 147.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM TUESDAY MORNING.
$$
STANKO
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Tropical Disturbance 93W has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 97W (UNNAMED)
93W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 23 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis & NOAA/JTWC SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) The strong tropical disturbance (LPA) which has been meandering over the Southern Philippine Sea, near the east coast of Mindanao during the past 3 days - has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 97W (UNNAMED). This system has drifted Northwestward during the past 3 hours...may threaten the eastern coasts of Surigao Del Norte, Leyte & Samar.
*Residents and visitors along Eastern and Central Visayas should closely monitor the progress of 93W.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon November 23 2009
Location of Center: 9.3º N Lat 127.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 235 km (128 nm) ESE of Surigao City
Distance 2: 360 km (195 nm) SE of Tacloban City
Distance 3: 290 km (157 nm) SE of Guiuan, E.Samar
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: NW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Coastal Leyte
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
+ Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to continue drifting NW-ward and slightly intensify. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system slowing down again while nearing the coast of Leyte & Surigao Del Norte. More forecast outlook will be issued soon as majority of the forecast guidance models remains poor in initializing the future track of this depression. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 26W's organizing bands continues to dump scattered to widespread rains across Northern Mindanao including the coastal areas of Leyte and Samar Islands. Rainfall amounts of up to 200 mm (heavy rains) can be expected. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
The area of convection previously located near 7.8n
128.9e, is now located near 8.2n 128.2e, approximately 390 nm west
of Palau. Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows continued
consolidation of deep convection near a well-defined low level
circulation center (LLCC) and a 220500z amsre Aqua microwave image
shows multiple convective bands converging into the system center.
The 220035z ascat pass also reveals a symmetric LLCC with 20-knot
winds. Environmental analysis indicates the system is in an area of
minimal vertical wind shear and has divergent flow aloft. An
upstream mid-latitude trough is also starting to provide increased
poleward outflow. A Circle was used for the tropical cyclone
formation alert area to convey near-term track uncertainty due to
the system being in a dual steering environment. Maximum sustained
surface winds are estimated at 17 to 22 knots. Minimum sea level
pressure is estimated to be near 1006 mb. Given an increase in
convective consolidation and improving poleward outflow, the
potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone
within the next 24 hours is upgraded to good. See ref b (wtpn21 pgtw
221000) for further details.
Tropical Depression 26W continues to gain strength
at 220600z, tropical depression 26w (twentysix) was
located near 7.5n 148.5e, approximately 410 nm southeast of Guam,
and had tracked north-northwestward at 09 knots over the past six
hours. Maximum sustained surface winds were estimated at 30 knots
gusting to 40 knots. See ref a (wtpn31 pgtw 220900) for further
details.
046
wtpn31 pgtw 230300
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical depression 26w (twentysix) warning nr 005
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only
---
warning position:
230000z --- near 8.1n 148.9e
movement past six hours - 010 degrees at 05 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 8.1n 148.9e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
231200z --- 8.7n 148.0e
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 24 hr posit: 295 deg/ 05 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
240000z --- 9.1n 147.1e
Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 050 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
050 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 295 deg/ 08 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
241200z --- 9.8n 145.6e
Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
055 nm southeast quadrant
055 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 315 deg/ 07 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
250000z --- 10.8n 144.5e
Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant
025 nm southeast quadrant
025 nm southwest quadrant
025 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 080 nm northeast quadrant
070 nm southeast quadrant
070 nm southwest quadrant
075 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 72 hr posit: 325 deg/ 08 kts
---
72 hrs, valid at:
260000z --- 13.3n 142.6e
Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
035 nm southeast quadrant
035 nm southwest quadrant
040 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 100 nm northeast quadrant
090 nm southeast quadrant
090 nm southwest quadrant
100 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 96 hr posit: 330 deg/ 08 kts
---
long range outlook:
note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 350 nm on day 5... and for intensity
near 20 kt each day.
---
96 hrs, valid at:
270000z --- 15.9n 140.9e
Max sustained winds - 075 kt, gusts 090 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 120 hr posit: 335 deg/ 08 kts
---
120 hrs, valid at:
280000z --- 18.8n 139.5e
Max sustained winds - 090 kt, gusts 110 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
---
remarks:
230300z position near 8.2n 148.7e.
Tropical depression 26w, located approximately 395 nm southeast of
Guam, has tracked northward at 05 knots over the past six hours.
Maximum significant wave height at 230000z is 12 feet. Next warnings
at 230900z, 231500z, 232100z and 240300z.//
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W [UNNAMED]
26W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W [UNNAMED]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 22 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #002 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression 26W (UNNAMED) strengthening southeast of Guam...may threaten Southern Marianas and Western Micronesia.
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 26W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun November 22 2009
Location of Center: 7.5º N Lat 148.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 750 km (405 nm) SSE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,135 km (613 nm) ESE of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 2,370 km (1,280 nm) East of Mindanao, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: NW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
Towards: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): ... km (... nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Nov 22
+ Forecast Outlook: 26W is expected to continue moving NW for the next 24 hours and intensify into a tropical storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system maintaining its NW path as it strengthens to a 100-kph storm on Tuesday afternoon [2pm Nov 24: 10.0N 145.8E]. 26W will become a Category 1 Typhoon on Wednesday afternoon...passing about 230 km WSW of Guam [2pm Nov 25: 11.7N 143.7E]...and turning more NNW on Thursday afternoon [2pm Nov 26: 14.0N 141.4E] while about 375 km WNW of Guam. 26W will reach Category 2 status on Friday afternoon [2pm Nov 27: 17.1N 139.7E] with winds of 165 kph...about 685 km NW of Guam. Based on this forecast, this system remains not a threat to the Philippines. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 26W is not yet affecting any major islands at this time.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) has drifted NW slowly while over the Southern Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 8.3N lon 128.2E...or about 335 km SE of Surigao City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a weak Tropical Cyclone within the next 12-24 hours.
Kindly click the T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Tropical Disturbance 93W raised by JMA as Tropical Depression
Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) has drifted NW slowly while over the Southern Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 8.3N lon 128.2E...or about 335 km SE of Surigao City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph near the center. This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a weak Tropical Cyclone within the next 12-24 hours.
Saturday, November 21, 2009
Tropical disturbance summary:
(1) the area of convection previously located near 6.5n
129.5e, is now located near 6.9n 128.8e, approximately 350 nm west
of Palau. Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows improved
consolidation of the deep convection over an increasingly symmetric
low level circulation center (LLCC), as seen in the 202138z Quikscat
pass. Additionally, the 210038z trmm microwave image reveals
multiple low level bands starting to converge into the LLCC.
However, it appears the system still lacks good outflow and the deep
convection is being sheared slightly to the west. Maximum sustained
surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level
pressure is estimated to be near 1005 mb. The potential for the
development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24
hours is upgraded to fair.
(2) an area of convection has persisted near 5.9n 146.9e,
approximately 475 nm south-southeast of Guam. Animated multispectral
satellite imagery shows increasing convective consolidation over a
broad low level circulation center (LLCC). A 201958z Quikscat pass
depicts an elongated LLCC and a 202315z ascat pass indicates 20-knot
winds converging into the LLCC from the west-southwest.
Additionally, the sea level pressure at Chuuk has been around 1005
mb over the last 24 hours. The system is under the subtropical ridge
axis in an area of minimal vertical wind shear and has sufficient
radial outflow. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15
to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1004
mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical
cyclone within the next 24 hours is fair.
Please refer the website: typhoon2000.com for further information.
93W and 94W upgraded to fair and subjected to TCFA within the next 12-24 hours
Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA)
the area of convection previously located near 6.5n
129.5e, is now located near 6.9n 128.8e, approximately 350 nm west
of Palau. Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows improved
consolidation of the deep convection over an increasingly symmetric
low level circulation center (LLCC), as seen in the 202138z Quikscat
pass. Additionally, the 210038z trmm microwave image reveals
multiple low level bands starting to converge into the LLCC.
However, it appears the system still lacks good outflow and the deep
convection is being sheared slightly to the west. Maximum sustained
surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level
pressure is estimated to be near 1005 mb. The potential for the
development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24
hours is upgraded to fair.
Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA)
an area of convection has persisted near 5.9n 146.9e,
approximately 475 nm south-southeast of Guam. Animated multispectral
satellite imagery shows increasing convective consolidation over a
broad low level circulation center (LLCC). A 201958z Quikscat pass
depicts an elongated LLCC and a 202315z ascat pass indicates 20-knot
winds converging into the LLCC from the west-southwest.
Additionally, the sea level pressure at Chuuk has been around 1005
mb over the last 24 hours. The system is under the subtropical ridge
axis in an area of minimal vertical wind shear and has sufficient
radial outflow. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15
to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1004
mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical
cyclone within the next 24 hours is fair.
the area of convection previously located near 6.5n
129.5e, is now located near 6.9n 128.8e, approximately 350 nm west
of Palau. Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows improved
consolidation of the deep convection over an increasingly symmetric
low level circulation center (LLCC), as seen in the 202138z Quikscat
pass. Additionally, the 210038z trmm microwave image reveals
multiple low level bands starting to converge into the LLCC.
However, it appears the system still lacks good outflow and the deep
convection is being sheared slightly to the west. Maximum sustained
surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level
pressure is estimated to be near 1005 mb. The potential for the
development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24
hours is upgraded to fair.
Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA)
an area of convection has persisted near 5.9n 146.9e,
approximately 475 nm south-southeast of Guam. Animated multispectral
satellite imagery shows increasing convective consolidation over a
broad low level circulation center (LLCC). A 201958z Quikscat pass
depicts an elongated LLCC and a 202315z ascat pass indicates 20-knot
winds converging into the LLCC from the west-southwest.
Additionally, the sea level pressure at Chuuk has been around 1005
mb over the last 24 hours. The system is under the subtropical ridge
axis in an area of minimal vertical wind shear and has sufficient
radial outflow. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15
to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1004
mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical
cyclone within the next 24 hours is fair.
Friday, November 20, 2009
Northeast Monsoon affecting Northern & Eastern Luzon, Bicol & Visayas. LPA (93W) bringing rains across Mindanao.
SEVERE ALERT STAGE
Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA)
* located over the Southern Philippine Sea or near 6.6N 129.1E...about 390 km ESE of Davao City
CURRENT INTENSITY: MAX: 15kt GUST: 20kt (28-37kph)
CURRENT PRESSURE: 1010MB
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 20KT (37KPH) MSLP: 1007.5MB
CENTRAL REGION TEMP: 0C
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP: 0C
FORECAST 12HRS: 20KT/37KPH
Discussion/Prognosis:
ABPW10 PGTW 200600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/200600Z-210600ZNOV2009//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.5N 129.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE
WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. A 200117Z METOP-A IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED
BANDING NORTH WRAPPING INTO THE WEST QUADRANT WITH A WEAK LLCC
SIGNATURE. A 200116Z ASCAT IMAGE SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POOR
ASSESSMENT AND SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT UNFLAGGED
WINDS. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SPARSE WITH KOROR (NORTHEAST OF THE
LLCC) MAINTAINING 10-KNOT EASTERLY FLOW AND SLP NEAR 1007 MB. THE
OVERALL ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL WITH WEAK TO MODERATE EASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, 20-30 KNOT UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW AND A
WEAK, ELONGATED 850 MB VORTICITY SIGNATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO MINDANAO AND THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Possible TC Formation possible over the Northwestern Pacific next week.
Based on the latest ECMWF model track,Tropical Cyclone Formation is possible over the Southern Philippine Sea, east of Mindanao (near Palau) up to the Caroline Islands (south of Guam) between November 20 to 26, 2009.
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
FORECAST:
Based on the latest model issued by ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) shows two possible system develop. The system that might develop off the coast of northeastern Mindanao is forecast to moved N-NNW heading Eastern Samar.It is projected to pass Northern Samar and transverse Northern Visayas sea. It will make its exit in Southern Mindoro if the forecast will remain the same.
NOTE:
This forecast will likely to happen though every 12 hrs are subject to change.
I.T.C.Z. (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting Mindanao & Palawan. Tail-End of a Cold Front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
SYNOPSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, a Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated at 590 kms East of Mindanao (07.9°N, 132.3°E). Northeast monsoon affecting Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Eastern Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Northern Luzon will have cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Luzon and over the Eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
At 2:00 p.m. today, a Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated at 590 kms East of Mindanao (07.9°N, 132.3°E). Northeast monsoon affecting Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Eastern Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Northern Luzon will have cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Luzon and over the Eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Based on the latest ECMWF model, the said tropical disturbance starts to develop over the Northeastern part of Mindanao on Nov. 23, 2009. It is forecast to move northwestward direction and resume morely to northward direction.
Note:
Prior to change unless the straightnew forecast will remain the same.
I.T.C.Z. (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting Visayas, Mindanao & Palawan.
SYPNOSIS:
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao. Tail-end of a cold front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Extreme Northern Luzon will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and over the Eastern sections of the country and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao. Tail-end of a cold front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Extreme Northern Luzon will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and over the Eastern sections of the country and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Monday, November 16, 2009
Tropical Cyclone Formation is possible between Nov. 19- 25, 2009 near the Eastern Mindanao or Palau
FORECAST:
Based on the latest forecast model,the tropical region in the Northwestern Pacific specifically the Philippines shows a tropical cyclone formation in the next few days.The said tropical disturbance is expected to develop a tropical cyclone off near the coast of Northern Mindanao.It is expected to hit Eastern Visayas whether on Nov.24 or 25. More weather updates will come about the new tropical cyclone formation in the next few days.
NOTE:
This forecast is subject to changes and only applicable if three straight forecasts remains the same.
I.T.C.Z. (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting Eastern Visayas and Mindanao.
SYPNOSIS:
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao. Diffused tail-end of a cold front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Extreme Northern Luzon will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and over the eastern sections of the country and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao. Diffused tail-end of a cold front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Eastern Mindanao which may trigger flashfloods and landslides. Extreme Northern Luzon will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rains while the rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and over the eastern sections of the country and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Tropical Disturbance 90w
WARNING STAGE
CURRENT INTENSITY: MAX: 15kt GUST: 20kt (28-37kph)
CURRENT PRESSURE: 1010MB
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 37KT (69KPH) MSLP: 1003.7MB
ADT ANALYSIS: 0KT (0kph) MSLP: 0mb
CENTRAL REGION TEMP: 0C (N/A)
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP: -0C
FORECAST 12HRS: 15KT/28KPH
I.T.C.Z. (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting Mindanao...Tail-end of a Cold Front affecting Extreme Northern Luzon.
SYPNOSIS:
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Mindanao and Palawan. Diffused tail-end of a cold front affecting Northeastern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Mindanao and Palawan will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) affecting Mindanao and Palawan. Diffused tail-end of a cold front affecting Northeastern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Mindanao and Palawan will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the Northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Easterly Tradewinds affecting the eastern coast of Visayas & Mindanao...bringing cloudy skies w/ passing rains & thunderstorms, mostly at noontime.
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Easterly Tradewinds affecting the eastern coast of Visayas & Mindanao...bringing cloudy skies w/ passing rains & thunderstorms, mostly at noontime or
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Visayas and Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and the coastal waters along this area will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the East and Northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Visayas and Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and the coastal waters along this area will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the East and Northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Weather Updates
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Visayas.
FORECAST:
Visayas will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern and the Eastern section of Central Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the East and Northeast and its coastal waters will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Visayas.
FORECAST:
Visayas will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Northern and the Eastern section of Central Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the East and Northeast and its coastal waters will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Weather Updates
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and Eastern Visayas and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and Eastern Visayas and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Weather Updates
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and at the Eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and at the Eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
There are no systems present across the tropical region of Western Pacific region
SYPNOSIS:
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and from the northeast over the Eastern secion of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Wind convergence affecting Mindanao.
FORECAST:
Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the east and northeast will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and from the northeast over the Eastern secion of Visayas and Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the east and northeast with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
Monday, November 9, 2009
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W [UNNAMED]
25W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Mon 09 November 2009
Sources: JMA TC 09Z Warning
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 25W (UNNAMED) drifting eastward.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to move NE for the next 24 hours.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation not affecting any land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 200 mm (light to very heavy rain) can be expected along the rain bands of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Mon Nov 09 2009
Location of Center: 20.8º N Lat 160.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 650 km (350 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 2: 790 km (427 nm) ESE of Marcus Island
Distance 3: 1,870 km (1,070 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,920 km (2,117 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: East @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Nov 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Mon Nov 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Mon 09 November 2009
Sources: JMA TC 09Z Warning
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 25W (UNNAMED) drifting eastward.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to move NE for the next 24 hours.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation not affecting any land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 200 mm (light to very heavy rain) can be expected along the rain bands of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Mon Nov 09 2009
Location of Center: 20.8º N Lat 160.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 650 km (350 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 2: 790 km (427 nm) ESE of Marcus Island
Distance 3: 1,870 km (1,070 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,920 km (2,117 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: East @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Nov 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Mon Nov 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Sunday, November 8, 2009
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
25W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Mon 09 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #008 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm 25W (UNNAMED) slows down and weakens as it drifts South.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to resume moving NE for the next 36 hours and will become Extratropical tomorrow morning.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation not affecting any land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 80 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the rain bands...with isolated amounts of 180 mm (heavy to very heavy rain) near the center of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Mon Nov 09 2009
Location of Center: 21.0º N Lat 159.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 785 km (425 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,755 km (948 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,785 km (2,045 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: South @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Mon Nov 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 AM Mon Nov 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Mon 09 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #008 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm 25W (UNNAMED) slows down and weakens as it drifts South.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to resume moving NE for the next 36 hours and will become Extratropical tomorrow morning.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation not affecting any land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 80 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the rain bands...with isolated amounts of 180 mm (heavy to very heavy rain) near the center of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Mon Nov 09 2009
Location of Center: 21.0º N Lat 159.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 665 km (360 nm) SE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 785 km (425 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,755 km (948 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,785 km (2,045 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: South @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Mon Nov 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 AM Mon Nov 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
25W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Sun 08 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #006 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm 25W (UNNAMED) continues to intensify as it heads ENE.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to turn NE for the next 48 hours and still intensify slightly. It will become Extratropical on Tuesday Nov 10.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation remains organized but is not affecting any land areas...remains over open seas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 75 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the rain bands...with isolated amounts of 180 mm (heavy to very heavy rain) near the center of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Sun Nov 08 2009
Location of Center: 21.7º N Lat 159.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 615 km (332 nm) ESE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 815 km (440 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,780 km (960 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,785 km (2,043 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: ENE @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Nov 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Nov 08
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Sun 08 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #006 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm 25W (UNNAMED) continues to intensify as it heads ENE.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to turn NE for the next 48 hours and still intensify slightly. It will become Extratropical on Tuesday Nov 10.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation remains organized but is not affecting any land areas...remains over open seas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 75 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the rain bands...with isolated amounts of 180 mm (heavy to very heavy rain) near the center of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Sun Nov 08 2009
Location of Center: 21.7º N Lat 159.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 615 km (332 nm) ESE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 815 km (440 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,780 km (960 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,785 km (2,043 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: ENE @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Nov 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Nov 08
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Saturday, November 7, 2009
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
25W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Sun 08 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #004-SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
25W (UNNAMED) reaches Tropical Storm status...drifting Eastward across the middle of the Western Pacific Ocean.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to continue moving Eastward for the next 12 hours before it turns ENE-ward to NE. The 2 to 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system continuing moving NE-ward and intensifying to 85 kph before dissipating over water on Wednesday Nov 11.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation has strengthened w/ the development of spiral bands on all quadrants of this system. This system is not affecting any major land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the rain bands of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Sun Nov 08 2009
Location of Center: 20.6º N Lat 156.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 510 km (275 nm) SE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,505 km (813 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,525 km (1,903 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: East @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun Nov 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Sun Nov 08
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
5:00 AM PST (21:00 GMT)
Sun 08 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #004-SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
25W (UNNAMED) reaches Tropical Storm status...drifting Eastward across the middle of the Western Pacific Ocean.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to continue moving Eastward for the next 12 hours before it turns ENE-ward to NE. The 2 to 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system continuing moving NE-ward and intensifying to 85 kph before dissipating over water on Wednesday Nov 11.
+ Effects: 25W's circulation has strengthened w/ the development of spiral bands on all quadrants of this system. This system is not affecting any major land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the rain bands of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PST Sun Nov 08 2009
Location of Center: 20.6º N Lat 156.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 510 km (275 nm) SE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,505 km (813 nm) NE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,525 km (1,903 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: East @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun Nov 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Sun Nov 08
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W [UNNAMED]
25W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT)
Tue 03 November 2009
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #002
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 25W (UNNAMED), newly-formed in the middle of the Western Pacific Ocean...not a threat to any major land masses...currently moving northwestward.
*This system is not a threat to the Philippines, as it is located more than a thousand miles away..
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 25W expected to move Northward within the next 12 hours before it recurves NE-ward and dissipate.
+ Effects: 25W is a weak system and is not affecting any land areas nearby. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 2 up to 30 mm (light rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 80 mm (moderate rain) near the center of 25W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Sat November 07 2009
Location of Center: 21.1º N Lat 155.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 325 km (175 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,175 km (635 nm) WNW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,420 km (767 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 4: 3,395 km (1,835 nm) ENE of The Philippines
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Click to view: 25W's Latest Wind Analysis
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 80 mm.
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Current Movement: NW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: None
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat Nov 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Nov 03
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
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