Sunday, November 1, 2009

TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE [SANTI/23W/0921]

MIRINAE (SANTI) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 kph TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE [SANTI/23W/0921]
T2K ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 01 November 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX & WARNING #026
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm MIRINAE (SANTI) moving west across the South China Sea...may weaken soon.

*Residents and visitors along Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of MIRINAE (SANTI).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MIRINAE is expected to track WSW-ward while weakening further...it shall be approaching the coast of Vietnam w/in 24 hours. The 1-day Short-Range Forecast shows the system making landfall over Vietnam tomorrow afternoon...dissipating later in the evening. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: MIRINAE's radial circulation continues to lose strength as dry air entrainment from a cold NE surge off China enters the system. This storm is no longer affecting any land areas. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 50 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 100 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Mirinae. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun November 01 2009
Location of Center: 13.8º N Lat 113.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 320 km (173 nm) NNW of Pagasa Island
Distance 2: 515 km (278 nm) ENE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 800 km (432 nm) WSW of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Click to view: Mirinae's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Nov 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Nov 01
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Nov 01
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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