Thursday, November 26, 2009

Powerful Super Typhoon NIDA (26W)

NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph

SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Fri 27 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #021 & SatFix
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Powerful Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) moving slowly northward...weakened into a Category 4.

*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Current Storm Information

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri Nov 27 2009
Location of Eye: 17.4º N Lat 139.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 745 km (402 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 445 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,775 km (958 nm) East of Northern Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 42 ft (12.8 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Nov 27

+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue on its slow track and weaken further down to Category 3 as it begins recurvature for the the next 2 days. The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Category 1 Typhoon and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the NE or ENE by Monday morning (8AM Nov 30: 23.6N 143.8E)...about 2,270 km East of Taiwan or 285 km ESE of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima). NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Tuesday (8AM Dec 01: 29.5N 152.4E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Partly sunny to cloudy skies & light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 30 kph) with occasional rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form from JTWC and other source agencies for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Pressure Estimates & Philipppine Storm Warning Signals by: NRL & PAGASA. Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA). Live Naga City weather conditions (if available) taken from T2K`s new DAVIS VANTAGE PRO2 Digital Weather Station.

THE NEXT T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM TODAY.

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