Monday, August 31, 2009

TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]

KROVANH (12W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]


T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 31 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm KROVANH (12W) heading closer to the coast of Honshu...increasing winds and rainfall along the SE portion of Honshu.

*Residents and visitors along Honshu and Hokkaido in Japan should closely monitor the progress of KROVANH.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: KROVANH is expected to veer NNE-ward for the next 12 to 24 hours and pass just along the SE coast of Honshu early tonight until early tomorrow morning. This storm shall become Extratropical tomorrow evening Sep 1st.

+ Effects: KROVANH's circulation continues to affect the Eastern part of Honshu...its inner rainbands is now spreading across Metropolitan Tokyo and the SE-part portions of Honshu...Strong winds with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its rain bands...deteriorating conditions can be expected later today until early tomorrow - along the coastal areas of SE Honshu as the storm passes by.1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 250 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm especially near the center of KROVANH and along the mountainous terrain of SE Honshu. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Honshu. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 31 2009
Location of Center: 34.2º N Lat 140.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 170 km (92 nm) SSE of Tokyo, Japan
Distance 2: 465 km (250 nm) SSW of Sendai, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Coastal Honshu, Japan
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 31
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 31
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Aug 31
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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