Tropical Depression Jolina
( 08W )
( 08W )
As of 6:00 a.m
Tropical Depression 08W (JOLINA) drifting WNW over the South China Sea...slightly disorganized.
Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 08W.
+ Forecast Outlook: 08W is expected to turn northward today and track towards Guangdong Province reaching minimal Tropical Storm strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 08W moving very slowly NNE, approaching the coast of Guangdong either Wednesday or Thursday (Aug 5-6)...dissipating along the coast on Friday or Saturday (Aug 7-8).
Effects: 93W's disorganized circulation remains over the South China Sea. Rainfall accumulations of up to 100-200 mm can be expected within its circulation.
Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Tropical Depression 08W (JOLINA) drifting WNW over the South China Sea...slightly disorganized.
Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 08W.
+ Forecast Outlook: 08W is expected to turn northward today and track towards Guangdong Province reaching minimal Tropical Storm strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 08W moving very slowly NNE, approaching the coast of Guangdong either Wednesday or Thursday (Aug 5-6)...dissipating along the coast on Friday or Saturday (Aug 7-8).
Effects: 93W's disorganized circulation remains over the South China Sea. Rainfall accumulations of up to 100-200 mm can be expected within its circulation.
Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) has been spotted forming off the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 21.5N lon 132.0E...or about 1,045 km ENE of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...drifting NNE while embedded within the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon August 03 2009
Location of Center: 18.3º N Lat 116.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 465 km (250 nm) West of Laoag City
Distance 2: 490 km (265 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 570 km (308 nm) SSW of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 610 km (330 nm) East of Hainan Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 991 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 10 kph (05 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
T2K Final TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Aug 02
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sun Aug 02
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 12 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Location of Center: 18.3º N Lat 116.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 465 km (250 nm) West of Laoag City
Distance 2: 490 km (265 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 570 km (308 nm) SSW of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 610 km (330 nm) East of Hainan Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 991 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 10 kph (05 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
T2K Final TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Aug 02
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sun Aug 02
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 12 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
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