Monday, August 3, 2009

Tropical Depression Kiko

( Tropical Disturbance 98W )

As of 6:00 p.m.

Tropical Depression 98W (KIKO) barely moving off the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...no change in strength.

*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands and Southern Japan should closely monitor the progress of 98W (KIKO).

Forecast Outlook: 98W is expected to drift erratically for the next 24 hours before heading towards Ryukyu-Okinawa area...Extended forecast on this system is not yet available as of this time.

Effects: 98W's broad circulation continues to consolidate over the Northern Philippine Sea. Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-300 mm can be expected within its circulation. No effect on major land areas is expected.

Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 60 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN AND CENTRAL VISAYAS, MINDORO, SOUTHERN LUZON, AND BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon August 03 2009
Location of Center: 19.9º N Lat 133.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,235 km (667 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 945 km (510 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: Quasi-Stationary
General Direction: Northern Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): ... km (... nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
PAGASA TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Aug 03
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

Tropical Depression Jolina

( 08W Invest )

As of 6:00 p.m.

Tropical Depression 08W (JOLINA) drifting slowly northward over the Northern South China Sea.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 08W (JOLINA).


Forecast Outlook: 08W is expected to resume its northward track towards Guangdong Province. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows 08W moving very slowly poleward, approaching the coast of Guangdong Province tomorrow afternoon and shall dissipate near the coast on Wednesday afternoon (Aug 5).

Effects: 08W's disorganized circulation remains over the South China Sea, with its low-level center partially exposed. Rainfall accumulations of up to 150-250 mm can be expected within its circulation. This system is not affecting any major land areas.

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon August 03 2009
Location of Center: 19.7º N Lat 115.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 315 km (170 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 2: 435 km (235 nm) SSW of Shantou, China
Distance 3: 460 km (248 nm) West of Hainan Island
Distance 4: 695 km (375 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Aug 03
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Mon Aug 03
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop







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