SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 p.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" (MORAKOT) was located based on satellite and surface data at 920 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes (22.7°N, 131.8°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near center and gustiness of up to 150 kph. It is forecast to move West at 17 kph. Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon and Visayas.
FORECAST:
The western section of Central and Southern Luzon and Western Visayas will experience monsoon rains while the rest of Luzon and Visayas will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 05 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #006
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue moving WNW and gaining strength into a Typhoon w/in the next 24 hours. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system reaching its peak winds of 175 kph (Category 3) as it passes to the south of Okinawa tomorrow late afternoon (Aug 6). It shall maintain its strength before making landfall along the coast of Eastern China on Saturday Aug 8th.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's broad circulation continues to improve and expand w/ the development of an eye feature while over the warm waters of the Northeastern Philippine Sea. The storm's outer bands is likely to reach Ryukyus Islands including Okinawa later tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 350 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands today until tomorrow. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Taiwan and Eastern China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Moderate to slightly strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON-METRO MANILA-BICOL REGION.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed August 05 2009
Location of Center: 22.6º N Lat 132.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 635 km (342 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 1,150 km (620 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 1,120 km (605 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 11 kph (06 kts)
General Direction: Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands
Size (in Diameter): 1,250 km (675 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Wed Aug 05
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Wed Aug 05
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 05 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of GONI (JOLINA).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: GONI is expected to continue moving WNW-ward across Western Guangdong today and shall completely dissipate tomorrow morning.
+ Effects: GONI's circulation (445 km across) continues to affect most of Southern China including Hainan Island. Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-300 mm can be expected along its rain bands particularly along Western Guangdong, Leizhou Peninsula and Hainan Island. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Guangdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed August 05 2009
Location of Center: 21.9º N Lat 112.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km (65 nm) WSW of Macau
Distance 2: 190 km (102 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 215 km (115 nm) ENE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 1,010 km (545 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Wed Aug 05
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Wed Aug 05
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
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