As of 5:00 a.m.
SYPNOSIS :
At 2:00 a.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 200 kms East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan (19.0°N,123.5°E).
FORECAST :
Northern and Central Luzon will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the west to southwest will prevail over Luzon and coming from the southwest and southeast over Visayas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the southeast to south. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE : PAGASA
Friday, August 14, 2009
Thursday, August 13, 2009
As of 5:00 p.m.
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 360 kms East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.3°N,125.5°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas and Mindanao will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southeast and South will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao and coming from the Northeast and Northwest over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 360 kms East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.3°N,125.5°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas and Mindanao will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southeast and South will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao and coming from the Northeast and Northwest over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 430 kms East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (15.0°N,128.8°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southwest and West will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the Southwest and North and the coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 430 kms East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (15.0°N,128.8°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southwest and West will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the Southwest and North and the coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
August 11, 2009
As of 5:00 p.m.
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 605 kms East of Visayas (11.0°N,131.9°E). Moderate to strong Southwesterly surface windflow prevailing over Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest will prevail over Northern Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the south to southwest with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 605 kms East of Visayas (11.0°N,131.9°E). Moderate to strong Southwesterly surface windflow prevailing over Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest will prevail over Northern Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the south to southwest with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Friday, August 7, 2009
August 07, 2009
Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO/09W)
As of 5:00 p.m
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 p.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" was located based on satellite and surface data at 290 kms North of Basco, Batanes (23.4°N, 121.7°E) with maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near center and gustiness of up to 170 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 15 kph. Meanwhile a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 1,580 kms East of Northern Luzon (19.8°N, 139.7°E ).
FORECAST:
Extreme Northern Luzon will experience rains and gusty winds while Visayas and rest of Luzon will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming occasional rains over the Western section. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 07 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #014
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) has continued moving West during the past 3 hours...nears the coast of Eastern Taiwan...widespread rains and high winds expected across much of Taiwan...Landfall likely to the south of Hualien City before or after sunset today.
*Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 12 hours and intensify a little bit - reaching Category 2 status w/ 165-kph winds as it reaches the East coast of Taiwan this afternoon. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning abruptly WNW-ward. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall to the south Hualien, Taiwan before or after sunset and cross Central or Northern Taiwan passing close to the south of Metro Taipei around 6 AM tomorrow. MORAKOT is forecast to weaken after crossing the moountains of Taiwan and shall be off Taiwan Strait tomorrow afternoon. MORAKOT shall make its 2nd and final landfall over Southeastern China by early Sunday morning, Aug 9 - passing south or close to Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Sunday Aug 9 until Monday Aug 10 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the emergence of an eye while approaching the east coast of Taiwan. The core (eye & eyewall) is now along the east coast of Taiwan as it prepares to make landfall. The storm's inner (rain) bands now spreading across much of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands...with its outer (feeder) bands over coastal SE China and Taiwan Strait and the northernmost Philippine Islands of Batanes, Babuyan and Calayan. Violent winds of 60-100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and moderate to strong winds of 30-60 kph w/ occasional rains, squalls can be expected along the outer bands. Deteriorating weather conditions is likely over the whole of Taiwan late this afternoon until night time as the typhoon crosses the island nation. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT and along mountain slopes on where the core is expected to pass. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON AND WESTERN BICOL. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Another strong Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) has been spotted forming northwest of Northern Mariana Islands and is now the subject of a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) per JTWC analysis...currently located near lat 19.6N lon 140.6E...or about 585 km East of P.A.R. or 1,945 km East of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...drifting WNW while embedded within the eastern part of the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system is likely to become a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri August 07 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 122.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km (40 nm) SE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 175 km (95 nm) SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 335 km (180 nm) North of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 405 km (220 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 420 km (227 nm) ESE of Xiamen, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Taiwan-SE China Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 28 ft (8.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Aug 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri Aug 07
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Fri Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now In Effect: NORTHERN CAGAYAN, APAYAO, ILOCOS NORTE & BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
As of 5:00 p.m
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 p.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" was located based on satellite and surface data at 290 kms North of Basco, Batanes (23.4°N, 121.7°E) with maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near center and gustiness of up to 170 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 15 kph. Meanwhile a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 1,580 kms East of Northern Luzon (19.8°N, 139.7°E ).
FORECAST:
Extreme Northern Luzon will experience rains and gusty winds while Visayas and rest of Luzon will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming occasional rains over the Western section. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 07 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #014
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) has continued moving West during the past 3 hours...nears the coast of Eastern Taiwan...widespread rains and high winds expected across much of Taiwan...Landfall likely to the south of Hualien City before or after sunset today.
*Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 12 hours and intensify a little bit - reaching Category 2 status w/ 165-kph winds as it reaches the East coast of Taiwan this afternoon. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning abruptly WNW-ward. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall to the south Hualien, Taiwan before or after sunset and cross Central or Northern Taiwan passing close to the south of Metro Taipei around 6 AM tomorrow. MORAKOT is forecast to weaken after crossing the moountains of Taiwan and shall be off Taiwan Strait tomorrow afternoon. MORAKOT shall make its 2nd and final landfall over Southeastern China by early Sunday morning, Aug 9 - passing south or close to Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Sunday Aug 9 until Monday Aug 10 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the emergence of an eye while approaching the east coast of Taiwan. The core (eye & eyewall) is now along the east coast of Taiwan as it prepares to make landfall. The storm's inner (rain) bands now spreading across much of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands...with its outer (feeder) bands over coastal SE China and Taiwan Strait and the northernmost Philippine Islands of Batanes, Babuyan and Calayan. Violent winds of 60-100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and moderate to strong winds of 30-60 kph w/ occasional rains, squalls can be expected along the outer bands. Deteriorating weather conditions is likely over the whole of Taiwan late this afternoon until night time as the typhoon crosses the island nation. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT and along mountain slopes on where the core is expected to pass. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON AND WESTERN BICOL. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Another strong Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) has been spotted forming northwest of Northern Mariana Islands and is now the subject of a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) per JTWC analysis...currently located near lat 19.6N lon 140.6E...or about 585 km East of P.A.R. or 1,945 km East of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...drifting WNW while embedded within the eastern part of the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system is likely to become a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri August 07 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 122.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km (40 nm) SE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 175 km (95 nm) SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 335 km (180 nm) North of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 405 km (220 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 420 km (227 nm) ESE of Xiamen, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Taiwan-SE China Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 28 ft (8.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Aug 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri Aug 07
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Fri Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now In Effect: NORTHERN CAGAYAN, APAYAO, ILOCOS NORTE & BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009
August 06, 2009
As of 5:00 a.m.
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 a.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" (MORAKOT) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 690 kms East Northeast of Basco, Batanes (23.2°N, 129.0°E) with maximum sustained winds of 130 kph near center and gustiness of up to 160 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 19 kph. Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon and Visayas.
FORECAST:
Luzon and Western Visayas will experience monsoon rains while the rest of Visayas will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Typhoon2000.com - Storm Update
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) now passing due south of Ryukyu-Okinawa Islands...rapidly intensifying...threatens Yaeyama Islands and Northern Taiwan...Outer feeder bands spreading into Taiwan & nearby islands.
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 a.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" (MORAKOT) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 690 kms East Northeast of Basco, Batanes (23.2°N, 129.0°E) with maximum sustained winds of 130 kph near center and gustiness of up to 160 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 19 kph. Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon and Visayas.
FORECAST:
Luzon and Western Visayas will experience monsoon rains while the rest of Visayas will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 009
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT's forecast has changed more to the west - due to the strengthening high pressure steering ridge north of it...now threatens Northern Taiwan including Metro Taipei. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system reaching Category 4 status w/ possible strength of 215 kph before hitting Northern Taiwan early tomorrow eveing (approx 7PM). It shall first pass over Yaeyama Islands (located east of Northern Taiwan) early tomorrow (approx 2AM). The core (eye & eyewall) shall pass very close or over Taipei around midnight on Saturday Aug 8 before moving into Taiwan Strait and making its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by early Sunday morning, Aug 9...shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the development of a cloud-filled eye and eyewall as it traverses the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands has started to spread across Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Taiwan. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Eastern Taiwan today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Moderate to slightly strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON-METRO MANILA-BICOL REGION.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 128.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 365 km (197 nm) South of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 700 km (378 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 715 km (387 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 955 km (515 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 21 ft (6.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Typhoon2000.com - Storm Update
GONI (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA WARNING
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
GONI (JOLINA) hanging tough over Western Guangdong as it remains a Tropical Storm...bringing widespread rains & flooding across parts of Southern China.
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of GONI (JOLINA).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 128.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 365 km (197 nm) South of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 700 km (378 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 715 km (387 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 955 km (515 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 21 ft (6.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
GONI (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM GONI [JOLINA/08W/0907]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA WARNING
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of GONI (JOLINA).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: GONI is expected to drift WNW or Westward across Western Guangdong today and dissipate.
+ Effects: GONI's shrinking circulation (370 km across) continues to affect portions of Western Guangdong (China). Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-400 mm can be expected along its rain bands particularly along Western Guangdong, Leizhou Peninsula and Hainan Island. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Guangdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Center: 22.2º N Lat 111.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 205 km (110 nm) West of Macau
Distance 2: 280 km (150 nm) West of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 145 km (78 nm) NE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Aug 06
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Location of Center: 22.2º N Lat 111.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 205 km (110 nm) West of Macau
Distance 2: 280 km (150 nm) West of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 145 km (78 nm) NE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Aug 06
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
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rammb.cira.colostate.edu/projects/gparm/data/current/mtxyrpsf.gif
