The following weather updates are taken from reliable weather agency and websites. Please refer to your local weather agency.
Monday, August 31, 2009
TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 31 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm KROVANH (12W) heading closer to the coast of Honshu...increasing winds and rainfall along the SE portion of Honshu.
*Residents and visitors along Honshu and Hokkaido in Japan should closely monitor the progress of KROVANH.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: KROVANH is expected to veer NNE-ward for the next 12 to 24 hours and pass just along the SE coast of Honshu early tonight until early tomorrow morning. This storm shall become Extratropical tomorrow evening Sep 1st.
+ Effects: KROVANH's circulation continues to affect the Eastern part of Honshu...its inner rainbands is now spreading across Metropolitan Tokyo and the SE-part portions of Honshu...Strong winds with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its rain bands...deteriorating conditions can be expected later today until early tomorrow - along the coastal areas of SE Honshu as the storm passes by.1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 250 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm especially near the center of KROVANH and along the mountainous terrain of SE Honshu. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Honshu. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 31 2009
Location of Center: 34.2º N Lat 140.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 170 km (92 nm) SSE of Tokyo, Japan
Distance 2: 465 km (250 nm) SSW of Sendai, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Coastal Honshu, Japan
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 31
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 31
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Mon Aug 31
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Tropical Storm KROVANH (12W)
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 29 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #005
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm KROVANH (12W) accelerating NW-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific...threaten Honshu, Japan.
*Residents and visitors along Chichi Jima and Honshu, Japan should closely monitor the progress of KROVANH.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: KROVANH is expected to continue moving NW-ward for the next 2 days, reaching minimal typhoon status tomorrow evening. The 3 to 5-Day Long-Range Forecast shows KROVANH recurving sharply to the NNE to NE on Monday, Aug 31st...while KROVANH moves along the coast of Southern Honshu in Japan by Monday evening until Tuesday (Aug 31 to Sep 1). It shall become Extratropical on Wednesday or Thursday (Sep 2-3).
+ Effects: None yet as it remains over open waters.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat August 29 2009
Location of Center: 26.6º N Lat 146.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 545 km (295 nm) East of Chichi Jima
Distance 2: 560 km (302 nm) NE of Iwo To
Distance 3: 1,200 km (648 nm) SE of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Honshu Area
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (3.9 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Aug 29
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sat Aug 29
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sat Aug 29
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Friday, August 28, 2009
Tropical Depression 12W (UNNAMED)
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 28 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
The tropical disturbance over the Western Pacific Ocean has developed into Tropical Depression 12W (UNNAMED)...heading NNW in the direction of Chichi Jima Area.
*Residents and visitors along Chichi Jima and Iwo To should closely monitor the progress of 12W.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 12W is expected to continue moving NNW for the next 24 hours and intensify. The 2 to 5-Day Long-Range Forecast shows 12W turning more NW'ly as it passes to the north of Chichi Jima on Sunday, Aug 30th. It shall be moving more the West, reaching its peak strength of 110 kph on Tuesday Sep 1 while moving closer to Southern Kyushu. 12W shall make landfall over Southern Kyushu on the evening of Sep 1.
+ Effects: None yet as it remains over open waters.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri August 28 2009
Location of Center: 22.5º N Lat 148.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 785 km (423 nm) ESE of Iwo To
Distance 2: 890 km (480 nm) SE of Chichi Jima
Distance 3: 1,700 km (918 nm) SSE of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
General Direction: Chichi Jima Area
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Aug 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri Aug 28
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Thursday, August 27, 2009
Monsoon trough across Luzon.
FORECAST:
Luzon and Visayas will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Mindanao will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light Southwesterly to Variable winds will prevail over Northern and Central Luzon and coming from the Southwest and West over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 25 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #033
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon VAMCO (11W) rapidly moving NNE-ward...may become extratropical tonight or tomorrow.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to continue moving NNE to NE for the next 24 hours and become an Extratropical Cyclone tomorrow morning.
+ Effects: None.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue August 25 2009
Location of Eye: 39.7º N Lat 157.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,280 km (692 nm) South of Kamchatka Peninsula
Distance 2: 1,640 km (885 nm) ENE of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 140 kph (75 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 165 kph (90 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 967 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNE @ 53 kph (29 kts)
General Direction: Kamchatka Peninsula
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.62 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Tue Aug 25
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Tue Aug 25
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Tue Aug 25
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Monday, August 24, 2009
TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 24 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #030
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon VAMCO (11W) now recurving NNE...displays a 85-km. large eye...no threat to land.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to continue moving NNE for the next 24 to 36 hours and weaken slowly. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows VAMCO becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Wednesday Aug 26.
+ Effects: None.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon August 24 2009
Location of Eye: 33.0º N Lat 155.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,000 km (540 nm) North of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,470 km (795 nm) ESE of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph (105 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 13 kph (07 kts)
General Direction: Kamchatka Peninsula
Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.62 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Aug 24
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Mon Aug 24
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Mon Aug 24
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Typhoon VAMCO (11W)
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sun 23 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #026
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon VAMCO (11W) continues to lose strength as it tracks poleward.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to recurve to the NNE later tomorrow and shall continue to lose strength. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows VAMCO becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Tuesday Aug 25.
+ Effects: None.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sun August 23 2009
Location of Eye: 29.0º N Lat 154.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 530 km (285 nm) NNE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,385 km (748 nm) ENE of Chichi Jima
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph (105 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Central Pressure: 964 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Kamchatka Peninsula
Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 29 ft (8.8 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sun Aug 23
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sun Aug 23
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Aug 23
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Thursday, August 20, 2009
TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 170 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 006
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT)
Thu 20 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon VAMCO (11W) now a Category 3 system w/ 195-kph winds...remains far-out at sea.
*Residents and visitors along Marcus Island should closely monitor the progress of VAMCO.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to track NNW during the next 1 to 3 days reaching near super typhoon strength on Saturday Aug 22 w/ wind speeds of 230 kph. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows VAMCO veering to the north on Monday Aug 24 then towards the NNE on Tuesday Aug 25. It shall start to weaken as it enters cooler sea surface temperatures accompanied with increasing vertical wind shear (upper level winds).
+ Effects: Rain bands of VAMCO is expected to reach the island of Marcus within the next 1 to 2 days. No major land areas will be affected by this howler.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu August 20 2009
Location of Center: 18.9º N Lat 157.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 605 km (327 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,000 km (540 nm) West of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,280 km (692 nm) ENE of Saipan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 195 kph (105 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 240 kph (130 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 3
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 9-12 feet [2.7-3.9 m]
Central Pressure: 944 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 04 kph (02 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 31 ft (9.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Thu Aug 20
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Thu Aug 20
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Thu Aug 20
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Typhoon VAMCO (11W)
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 125 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 120 km/hr TYPHOON VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 19 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #009
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
VAMCO (11W) strengthens into a Typhoon.
*Residents and visitors along Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of VAMCO.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to track NNW during the next 1 to 2 days. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows VAMCO reaching its potential peak strength of 195 kph (Category 3) on Saturday, Aug 22 while remaining over the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed August 19 2009
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 157.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 835 km (450 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 970 km (523 nm) WSW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,305 km (705 nm) ENE of Saipan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNE @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 ft (5.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Wed Aug 19
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Wed Aug 19
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Aug 19
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
TROPICAL STORM VAMCO [11W/0910]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr TROPICAL STORM VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #006
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm VAMCO (11W) heading north as it intensifies over the warm waters of the Western Pacific Ocean.
*Residents and visitors along Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of VAMCO.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to resume its NW track for the next 2 days, becoming a minimal Typhoon on Thursday, Aug. 20. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows VAMCO turning again to the north reaching its potential peak strength of 160 kph on Sunday, Aug 23.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.7º N Lat 157.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 845 km (455 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) WSW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,255 km (677 nm) ENE of Saipan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 13 kph (07 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Area
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Tue Aug 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression MAKA (01C) too weak over open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean...drifting WSW slowly.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MAKA is expected to move WNW for the next 24 to 36 hours and re-intensify. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MAKA continuing on its WNW-ward track, passing very close to the south of Wake Island on Thursday afternoon, Aug 20.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.1º N Lat 171.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 655 km (353 nm) ESE of Wake Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: Wake Island Area
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Mon Aug 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Tropical Storm VAMCO (11W)
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr TROPICAL STORM VAMCO [11W/0910]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #006
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm VAMCO (11W) heading north as it intensifies over the warm waters of the Western Pacific Ocean.
*Residents and visitors along Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of VAMCO.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to resume its NW track for the next 2 days, becoming a minimal Typhoon on Thursday, Aug. 20. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows VAMCO turning again to the north reaching its potential peak strength of 160 kph on Sunday, Aug 23.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.7º N Lat 157.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 845 km (455 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) WSW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,255 km (677 nm) ENE of Saipan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 13 kph (07 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Area
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Tue Aug 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression MAKA (01C) too weak over open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean...drifting WSW slowly.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MAKA is expected to move WNW for the next 24 to 36 hours and re-intensify. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MAKA continuing on its WNW-ward track, passing very close to the south of Wake Island on Thursday afternoon, Aug 20.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.1º N Lat 171.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 655 km (353 nm) ESE of Wake Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: Wake Island Area
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Mon Aug 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Monday, August 17, 2009
Tropical Depression 11w
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 (INITIAL)
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 17 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression 11W (UNNAMED) newly-formed north of Micronesia...drifting WNW slowly.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 11W is expected to track WNW slowly for the next 24 and intensify slowly. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 11W turning to the North and accelerating on Wednesday Aug 19, becoming a Category 1 Typhoon while moving across the Western Pacific Ocean on Friday Aug 21st.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 17 2009
Location of Center: 12.8º N Lat 158.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,505 km (812 nm) East of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 2: 1,110 km (600 nm) SW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,305 km (705 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 08 ft (2.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Tropical Storm Maka
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL STORM MAKA [01C]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 17 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #010
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm MAKA (01C) barely moving as it weakens near the Central Pacific Ocean.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MAKA is expected to move WNW for the next 24 to 36 hours and intensify slowly. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MAKA continuing on its WNW-ward track, passing very close to the south of Wake Island on Thursday Aug 20.
+ Effects: None
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 17 2009
Location of Center: 16.5º N Lat 172.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 705 km (380 nm) SE of Wake Island
Distance 2: 790 km (427 nm) West of International Dateline
Distance 3: 3,005 km (1,623 nm) ENE of Hagatna, Guam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Aug 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
Sunday, August 16, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 340 kms East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.3°N,129.2°E).
FORECAST:
Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the East and Southeast will prevail throughout the archipelago with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Saturday, August 15, 2009
SYPNOSIS :
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 840 kms East of Northern Mindanao (10.0°N,134.0°E).
FORECAST :
Northern Luzon and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southeast and East will prevail throughout the country with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Friday, August 14, 2009
SYPNOSIS :
At 2:00 a.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 200 kms East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan (19.0°N,123.5°E).
FORECAST :
Northern and Central Luzon will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the west to southwest will prevail over Luzon and coming from the southwest and southeast over Visayas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the southeast to south. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE : PAGASA
Thursday, August 13, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 360 kms East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.3°N,125.5°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas and Mindanao will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southeast and South will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao and coming from the Northeast and Northwest over the rest of the country. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 430 kms East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (15.0°N,128.8°E).
FORECAST:
Luzon will experience cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to at times cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southwest and West will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the Southwest and North and the coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be slight to moderate except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
August 11, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
At 2:00 p.m. today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 605 kms East of Visayas (11.0°N,131.9°E). Moderate to strong Southwesterly surface windflow prevailing over Northern Luzon.
FORECAST:
Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest will prevail over Northern Luzon with moderate to rough seas. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the south to southwest with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.
SOURCE: PAGASA
Friday, August 7, 2009
August 07, 2009
As of 5:00 p.m
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 p.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" was located based on satellite and surface data at 290 kms North of Basco, Batanes (23.4°N, 121.7°E) with maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near center and gustiness of up to 170 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 15 kph. Meanwhile a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 1,580 kms East of Northern Luzon (19.8°N, 139.7°E ).
FORECAST:
Extreme Northern Luzon will experience rains and gusty winds while Visayas and rest of Luzon will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming occasional rains over the Western section. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 07 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #014
# View:
Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) has continued moving West during the past 3 hours...nears the coast of Eastern Taiwan...widespread rains and high winds expected across much of Taiwan...Landfall likely to the south of Hualien City before or after sunset today.
*Residents and visitors along Taiwan & Southeastern & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 12 hours and intensify a little bit - reaching Category 2 status w/ 165-kph winds as it reaches the East coast of Taiwan this afternoon. The 3-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning abruptly WNW-ward. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall to the south Hualien, Taiwan before or after sunset and cross Central or Northern Taiwan passing close to the south of Metro Taipei around 6 AM tomorrow. MORAKOT is forecast to weaken after crossing the moountains of Taiwan and shall be off Taiwan Strait tomorrow afternoon. MORAKOT shall make its 2nd and final landfall over Southeastern China by early Sunday morning, Aug 9 - passing south or close to Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Sunday Aug 9 until Monday Aug 10 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the emergence of an eye while approaching the east coast of Taiwan. The core (eye & eyewall) is now along the east coast of Taiwan as it prepares to make landfall. The storm's inner (rain) bands now spreading across much of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands...with its outer (feeder) bands over coastal SE China and Taiwan Strait and the northernmost Philippine Islands of Batanes, Babuyan and Calayan. Violent winds of 60-100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and moderate to strong winds of 30-60 kph w/ occasional rains, squalls can be expected along the outer bands. Deteriorating weather conditions is likely over the whole of Taiwan late this afternoon until night time as the typhoon crosses the island nation. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT and along mountain slopes on where the core is expected to pass. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Yaeyama Islands today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON AND WESTERN BICOL. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Another strong Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA) has been spotted forming northwest of Northern Mariana Islands and is now the subject of a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) per JTWC analysis...currently located near lat 19.6N lon 140.6E...or about 585 km East of P.A.R. or 1,945 km East of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...drifting WNW while embedded within the eastern part of the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system is likely to become a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri August 07 2009
Location of Eye: 23.5º N Lat 122.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km (40 nm) SE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 175 km (95 nm) SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 335 km (180 nm) North of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 405 km (220 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 420 km (227 nm) ESE of Xiamen, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Taiwan-SE China Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 28 ft (8.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Fri Aug 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri Aug 07
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Fri Aug 07
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
Now In Effect: NORTHERN CAGAYAN, APAYAO, ILOCOS NORTE & BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009
August 06, 2009
SYPNOSIS:
At 4:00 a.m. today, Typhoon "KIKO" (MORAKOT) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 690 kms East Northeast of Basco, Batanes (23.2°N, 129.0°E) with maximum sustained winds of 130 kph near center and gustiness of up to 160 kph. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 19 kph. Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon and Visayas.
FORECAST:
Luzon and Western Visayas will experience monsoon rains while the rest of Visayas will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Southwest will prevail throughout the archipelago with moderate to rough seas.
SOURCE: PAGASA
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT's forecast has changed more to the west - due to the strengthening high pressure steering ridge north of it...now threatens Northern Taiwan including Metro Taipei. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system reaching Category 4 status w/ possible strength of 215 kph before hitting Northern Taiwan early tomorrow eveing (approx 7PM). It shall first pass over Yaeyama Islands (located east of Northern Taiwan) early tomorrow (approx 2AM). The core (eye & eyewall) shall pass very close or over Taipei around midnight on Saturday Aug 8 before moving into Taiwan Strait and making its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by early Sunday morning, Aug 9...shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the development of a cloud-filled eye and eyewall as it traverses the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands has started to spread across Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Taiwan. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Eastern Taiwan today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Moderate to slightly strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON-METRO MANILA-BICOL REGION.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 128.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 365 km (197 nm) South of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 700 km (378 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 715 km (387 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 955 km (515 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 21 ft (6.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Wed Aug 05
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
GONI (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA WARNING
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of GONI (JOLINA).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: GONI is expected to drift WNW or Westward across Western Guangdong today and dissipate.
+ Effects: GONI's shrinking circulation (370 km across) continues to affect portions of Western Guangdong (China). Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-400 mm can be expected along its rain bands particularly along Western Guangdong, Leizhou Peninsula and Hainan Island. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Guangdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Location of Center: 22.2º N Lat 111.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 205 km (110 nm) West of Macau
Distance 2: 280 km (150 nm) West of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 145 km (78 nm) NE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 990 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Aug 06
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
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- TROPICAL STORM KROVANH [12W/0911]
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- SYPNOSIS: Monsoon trough across Lu...
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