Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Tropical Storm VAMCO (11W)

VAMCO (11W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr TROPICAL STORM VAMCO [11W/0910]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #006
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm VAMCO (11W) heading north as it intensifies over the warm waters of the Western Pacific Ocean.

*Residents and visitors along Iwo To & Chichi Jima should closely monitor the progress of VAMCO.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: VAMCO is expected to resume its NW track for the next 2 days, becoming a minimal Typhoon on Thursday, Aug. 20. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows VAMCO turning again to the north reaching its potential peak strength of 160 kph on Sunday, Aug 23.

+ Effects: None

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.7º N Lat 157.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 845 km (455 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) WSW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,255 km (677 nm) ENE of Saipan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: North @ 13 kph (07 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Area
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Tue Aug 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]

MAKA (01C) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAKA [01C]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Tue 18 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #013
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression MAKA (01C) too weak over open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean...drifting WSW slowly.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MAKA is expected to move WNW for the next 24 to 36 hours and re-intensify. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MAKA continuing on its WNW-ward track, passing very close to the south of Wake Island on Thursday afternoon, Aug 20.

+ Effects: None

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue August 18 2009
Location of Center: 16.1º N Lat 171.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 655 km (353 nm) ESE of Wake Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: Wake Island Area
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Tue Aug 18
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Mon Aug 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Aug 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

Tropical Storm VAMCO

Monday, August 17, 2009

Tropical Depression 11w

11W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W [UNNAMED]

T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 (INITIAL)
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 17 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Depression 11W (UNNAMED) newly-formed north of Micronesia...drifting WNW slowly.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 11W is expected to track WNW slowly for the next 24 and intensify slowly. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 11W turning to the North and accelerating on Wednesday Aug 19, becoming a Category 1 Typhoon while moving across the Western Pacific Ocean on Friday Aug 21st.

+ Effects: None

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 17 2009
Location of Center: 12.8º N Lat 158.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,505 km (812 nm) East of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 2: 1,110 km (600 nm) SW of Wake Island
Distance 3: 1,305 km (705 nm) SSE of Marcus Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 08 ft (2.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

Tropical Storm Maka

MAKA (01C) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr TROPICAL STORM MAKA [01C]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Mon 17 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #010
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009) Tropical Storm MAKA (01C) barely moving as it weakens near the Central Pacific Ocean.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MAKA is expected to move WNW for the next 24 to 36 hours and intensify slowly. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MAKA continuing on its WNW-ward track, passing very close to the south of Wake Island on Thursday Aug 20.

+ Effects: None

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Mon August 17 2009
Location of Center: 16.5º N Lat 172.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 705 km (380 nm) SE of Wake Island
Distance 2: 790 km (427 nm) West of International Dateline
Distance 3: 3,005 km (1,623 nm) ENE of Hagatna, Guam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: NW Pacific Ocean
Size (in Diameter): --- km (-- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Mon Aug 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Mon Aug 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Sun Aug 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

Sunday, August 16, 2009

As of 5:00 p.m

SYPNOSIS:

At 2:00 p.m. today, the Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 340 kms East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.3°N,129.2°E).

FORECAST:

Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.

Light to moderate winds blowing from the East and Southeast will prevail throughout the archipelago with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.

SOURCE: PAGASA

Saturday, August 15, 2009

As of 5;00 p.m.

SYPNOSIS :

At 2:00 p.m. today, the Shallow Low Pressure Area (SLPA) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 840 kms East of Northern Mindanao (10.0°N,134.0°E).

FORECAST :

Northern Luzon and Mindanao will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.

Light to moderate winds blowing from the Southeast and East will prevail throughout the country with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.

SOURCE: PAGASA

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