850 hPa CIRCULATION (kt)

Latest Satellite Imagery (PAGASA)





24-Hour Water Vapor Loop



T2k Graphical Satellite Analysis




Tropical Cyclone Formation Areas Of Interest




Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability

Tropical Depression 01W (UNNAMED)

Images:

WV



ColorIR




NOAA




ViR


Tracks:






01W (ONE) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 19 January 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010) The strong disturbance WSW of Palawan or off the Southernmost part of the South China Sea has become the 1st Tropical Cyclone of 2010...Tropical Depression 01W (UNNAMED) organizing as it heads WNW and threatens Southern Vietnam.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 01W.

*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Current Storm Information

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue Jan 19 2010
Location of Center: 8.2º N Lat 110.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 500 km (270 nm) SE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 925 km (498 nm) WSW of Puerto Princesa
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Southern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Tue Jan 19

+ Forecast Outlook: 01W is expected to continue moving WNW, closer to the Southern Coast of Vietnam. This system may reach minimal Tropical Storm strength later tonight (8PM Jan 19: 9.5N 107.8E) and will make landfall early tomorrow morning, Jan 20th, passing some 40 km. south of Ho Chi Minh City (formerly Saigon). It will be over the Vietnam-Cambodia boundary tomorrow morning (8AM Jan 20: 10.8N 105.5E) as a dissipating TD, passing close to Phnom Penh in the afternoon (Jan 20). Complete dissipation of 01W can be expected by tomorrow evening along the mountains of Cambodia. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects & Hazards: 01W's strong rainbands now spreading and affecting SE and Southern Vietnam...Moderate to heavy rains can be expected. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing drizzle to occasional rainshowers can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, EASTERN VISAYAS AND EASTERN MINDANAO. Light to moderate cool northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected along these areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TD 01W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0110.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

Active System in the Western Pacific might develop based on the latest numerical data issued by ECMWF

No TCF at this time.

SYPNOSIS:


Tail-end of a cold front affecting Eastern Luzon.

FORECAST:


Eastern section of Luzon will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rains. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Luzon, Visayas and Eastern Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the Northeast with slight to moderate seas

Wishing Happy Prosperous New Year

Lets welcome the new year with joy, happiness, positive outlook in life !!!!!!!!!!!!

SYPNOSIS:


Moderate to strong Northeasterly surface windflow affecting Luzon. Tail-end of a cold front affecting Visayas.

FORECAST:


Visayas and Northern Mindanao will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms becoming widespread rains over Visayas which may trigger flashfloods or landslides. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northeast will prevail over Luzon and Visayas and coming from the East and Northeast over Eastern Mindanao and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the Northeast with slight to moderate seas.