Monday, January 18, 2010

Tropical Depression 01W (UNNAMED)

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01W (ONE) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Tue 19 January 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #001
# View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010) The strong disturbance WSW of Palawan or off the Southernmost part of the South China Sea has become the 1st Tropical Cyclone of 2010...Tropical Depression 01W (UNNAMED) organizing as it heads WNW and threatens Southern Vietnam.

*Residents and visitors along Southern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 01W.

*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Current Storm Information

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Tue Jan 19 2010
Location of Center: 8.2º N Lat 110.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 500 km (270 nm) SE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 925 km (498 nm) WSW of Puerto Princesa
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Southern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Tue Jan 19

+ Forecast Outlook: 01W is expected to continue moving WNW, closer to the Southern Coast of Vietnam. This system may reach minimal Tropical Storm strength later tonight (8PM Jan 19: 9.5N 107.8E) and will make landfall early tomorrow morning, Jan 20th, passing some 40 km. south of Ho Chi Minh City (formerly Saigon). It will be over the Vietnam-Cambodia boundary tomorrow morning (8AM Jan 20: 10.8N 105.5E) as a dissipating TD, passing close to Phnom Penh in the afternoon (Jan 20). Complete dissipation of 01W can be expected by tomorrow evening along the mountains of Cambodia. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects & Hazards: 01W's strong rainbands now spreading and affecting SE and Southern Vietnam...Moderate to heavy rains can be expected. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing drizzle to occasional rainshowers can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, EASTERN VISAYAS AND EASTERN MINDANAO. Light to moderate cool northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected along these areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TD 01W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0110.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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